Georgia Power Co (GPJA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Georgia Power Co $17.58, price $18.61, upside -5.5%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.08 – $22.47 · fair‑value band $10.46 – $30.69 · the $18.61 price screens above the $17.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Georgia Power Company engages in generation, transmission, distribution, purchases, and sells electric service in Georgia. It generates electricity from coal, nuclear, and natural gas sources, as well as renewable sources, such as solar, hydroelectric, and wind.
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The company serves approximately 600 communities, including Athens, Atlanta, Augusta, Columbus, Macon, Rome, and Savannah, as well as in rural areas; and at wholesale to Oglethorpe Power Corporation, municipal electric authority of Georgia, city of Dalton, various electric membership corporations, and non-affiliated utilities.
Georgia Power also markets and sells outdoor lighting services. The company was founded in 1927 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia. Georgia Power Company is a subsidiary of The Southern Company.
Stock analysis
Georgia Power Co (GPJA) currently trades at $18.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.58, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.8%).
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 21 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the data coverage at medium.
Scenario range: $10.46 (bear) to $30.69 (bull), the price of $18.61 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Georgia Power Co reported revenue of $29.6B in FY2025 versus $9.3B in FY2021, a compound +33.7%/yr. Reported net income was $4.3B in FY2025, compounding +65.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $212M · P/E ratio 0.1 · P/S ratio 0.02 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 14.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Free cash flow $9.8B · Net debt $3.0B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at −6%, GPJA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$10.46Fair Value $17.58Bull$30.69
Price $18.61 · Upside -5.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+160.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.5% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+30.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+26.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18.1% vs 11.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 25%
2025 sits 74% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Residential · 56 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−5.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets7.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)14.7% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)4.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.02× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Georgia Power Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GPJA
Frequently asked questions
Is Georgia Power Co (GPJA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.58 versus a price of $18.61, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GPJA?
Our model-based fair value for Georgia Power Co is $17.58 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $18.61.
What is the quality score of GPJA?
Georgia Power Co has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Georgia Power Co (GPJA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.58 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.46, optimistic scenario $30.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Georgia Power Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.58, about −6% upside versus a price of $18.61 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $10.46, optimistic scenario $30.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Georgia Power Co pay a dividend?
Georgia Power Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.94% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Georgia Power Co (GPJA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Georgia Power Co it is $17.58 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $18.61. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Georgia Power Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, GPJA trades above its calculated fair value: price $18.61, fair value $17.58, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GPJA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($18.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.58). For Georgia Power Co the two are $1.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Georgia Power Co worth?
The market values Georgia Power Co at about $212M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $18.61; our models calculate a fair value of $17.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GPJA?
Our models span a range for Georgia Power Co: cautious scenario $10.46, base $17.58, optimistic $30.69 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $18.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GPJA?
Georgia Power Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.1 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.58 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, EV/EBITDA 0.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Georgia Power Co (GPJA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Georgia Power Co (as of Oct 2, 2026): debt of 3.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GPJA from its 52-week high?
Georgia Power Co trades at $18.61, about 17% below its 52-week high of $22.47 and at the low of $18.61 (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Georgia Power Co?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Comcast Holdings, Essex Property Trust, Inc, Sun Communities, Inc, Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Georgia Power Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $18.61, calculated fair value $17.58 (−6%), Quality Score 60/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GPJA calculated?
We run Georgia Power Co through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.58, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Georgia Power Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Georgia Power Co (GPJA)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was $18.61. Our model-based fair value is $17.58, about −6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Georgia Power Co right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($10.46 to $30.69). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Georgia Power Co (GPJA) come from?
Earnings per share at Georgia Power Co grew +10.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.4 %, EBIT margin +2.3 %, tax rate +3.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Georgia Power Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Georgia Power Co (GPJA)?
The market capitalisation of Georgia Power Co is $212M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Georgia Power Co (GPJA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Georgia Power Co is 0.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Georgia Power Co (GPJA)?
The dividend yield of Georgia Power Co is 4.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Georgia Power Co (GPJA)?
The net margin of Georgia Power Co is 14.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Georgia Power Co (GPJA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Georgia Power Co is 5.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Georgia Power Co (GPJA) generate?
The free cash flow of Georgia Power Co is $9.8B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Georgia Power Co (GPJA) carry?
The net debt of Georgia Power Co is $3.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 2, 2026