GeoPark Limited (GPRK34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of GeoPark Limited BRL 42.13, price BRL 56.75, upside -25.8%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$31.77 – R$70.31 · fair‑value band R$29.49 – R$68.32 · the R$56.75 price screens above the R$42.13 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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GeoPark Limited operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, and other Latin American countries. It engages in the exploration, development, drilling, and production of oil and natural gas reserves.
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GeoPark Limited operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, and other Latin American countries. It engages in the exploration, development, drilling, and production of oil and natural gas reserves. The company was formerly known as GeoPark Holdings Limited and changed its name to GeoPark Limited in May 2009. GeoPark Limited was founded in 2002 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.
Stock analysis
GeoPark Limited (GPRK34) currently trades at R$56.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$42.13, 25.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$59.70 per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the R$56.75 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$13.25, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: R$29.49 (bear) to R$68.32 (bull), the price of R$56.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
GeoPark Limited reported revenue of $493M in FY2025 versus $689M in FY2021, a compound −8.0%/yr. Reported net income was $49.7M in FY2025, compounding −5.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$3.3B (≈ $623M) · P/E ratio 10.3 · P/S ratio 1.04 · EPS (TTM) R$5.50 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 10.1% · Return on equity 22.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 27.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −26%, GPRK34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$29.49Fair Value R$42.13Bull R$68.32
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$3.98 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−0.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.45% → 22%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 264 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Below median
Fair Value upside+2.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)22.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)11.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)45.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.18× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GeoPark Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GPRK34
Frequently asked questions
Is GeoPark Limited (GPRK34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$42.13 versus a price of R$56.75, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GPRK34?
Our model-based fair value for GeoPark Limited is R$42.13 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$56.75.
What is the quality score of GPRK34?
GeoPark Limited has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$42.13 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$29.49, optimistic scenario R$68.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GeoPark Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$42.13, about −26% upside versus a price of R$56.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$29.49, optimistic scenario R$68.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
GeoPark Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $484M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does GeoPark Limited pay a dividend?
GeoPark Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.42% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GeoPark Limited it is R$42.13 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R$56.75. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GeoPark Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GPRK34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$56.75, fair value R$42.13, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GPRK34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$56.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$42.13). For GeoPark Limited the two are R$14.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GeoPark Limited worth?
The market values GeoPark Limited at about R$3.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R$56.75; our models calculate a fair value of R$42.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GPRK34?
Our models span a range for GeoPark Limited: cautious scenario R$29.49, base R$42.13, optimistic R$68.32 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R$56.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GPRK34?
GeoPark Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$42.13 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 4.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
Balance-sheet figures for GeoPark Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 22.6%, debt of 2.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GPRK34 from its 52-week high?
GeoPark Limited trades at R$56.75, about 7% below its 52-week high of R$60.80 and 79% above the low of R$31.77 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$42.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GeoPark Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GeoPark Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R$56.75, calculated fair value R$42.13 (−26%), Quality Score 38/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GPRK34 calculated?
We run GeoPark Limited through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$42.13, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. GeoPark Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was R$56.75. Our model-based fair value is R$42.13, about −26% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GeoPark Limited right now?
Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (R$29.49 to R$68.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of GeoPark Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
The market capitalisation of GeoPark Limited is R$3.3B (≈ $623M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GeoPark Limited is 1.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
Earnings per share at GeoPark Limited are R$5.50 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
The dividend yield of GeoPark Limited is 0.4% (payout 4.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
The net margin of GeoPark Limited is 10.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GeoPark Limited is 22.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GeoPark Limited is 27.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
The operating margin of GeoPark Limited is 45.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
Revenue at GeoPark Limited is growing −6.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GeoPark Limited (GPRK34)?
Earnings per share at GeoPark Limited are growing +44.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does GeoPark Limited (GPRK34) generate?
The free cash flow of GeoPark Limited is −$83.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does GeoPark Limited (GPRK34) carry?
The net debt of GeoPark Limited is $453M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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