Grab Holdings (GRAB) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $14.6B
Grab Holdings
GRAB · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $1.42 to $1.30 (−8.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.31 – $17.06 · fair‑value band $1.27 – $1.54 · the $3.66 price screens above the $1.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Grab Holdings (GRAB) currently trades at $3.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.30, implying the stock looks roughly 64.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Grab Holdings generated revenue of $3.6B at a net margin of 10.7%. Revenue grew 23.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.27 (bear case) to $1.54 (bull case); at $3.66, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -64%, GRAB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($3.10) versus Asset-Based ($1.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Grab Holdings Limited operates the Grab superapp in Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.
Full company description
Grab Holdings Limited operates the Grab superapp in Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. The company offers delivery services on its platform, such as GrabFood, a food ordering and delivery booking service; Dine-Out for table reservations; GrabMart, a goods ordering and delivery booking service; GrabAds, an online advertising solution; GrabExpress, a package delivery booking service; Grab for Business platform, a unified management portal for corporate clients. It also provides GrabKios, a network of agents; GrabCar, which enables a private hire driver-partner to register with Grab and accept bookings through its driver-partner application; and GrabTaxi, which enables a taxi driver-partner to register with Grab and accept bookings through the Grab driver-partner application. In addition, the company offers JustGrab, which enables consumers to book a private car or a traditional taxi; GrabBike, a motorcycle ride-hailing offering; three-wheel vehicles for culturally localized modes; carpooling shared mobility options; GrabRentals, which facilitates vehicle rental for its driver-partners; GrabPay, a digital payments solution; and GrabCoins, a loyalty platform. Further, it provides GrabFin for financial services comprising digital and offline lending, PayLater services, white goods financing, receivables factoring, and working capital loans; GrabInsure, aprotection for rides and package deliveries, personal accident insurance, income protection insurance, critical illness insurance, vehicle insurance, and travel insurance; GrabLink, a payment gateway and acquiring service; Digibank Savings Account, a digital banking deposit account. Additionally, the company offers GX Bank debit cards; GXS FlexiCard, a fee-based credit card; and mapping services, autonomous vehicle services, and last-mile delivery infrastructure. Grab Holdings Limited was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Singapore, Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grab Holdings reported revenue of $3.4B in FY2025 versus $675M in FY2021, a compound +49.5%/yr. Reported net income was $268M in FY2025.
GRAB screens 64% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Grab Holdings (GRAB) Raises 2026 Guidance, Is The Stock Still Below Fair Value?
- Grab Holdings (GRAB) Is Up 11.6% After Q2 Beat, Guidance Hike And Larger Buyback Authorization – Has The Bull Case Changed?
- Grab CFO makes AI reveal, sends market into frenzy
- Grab (GRAB) Stock Looks Fairly Priced Despite Record Results And Buyback
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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