Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Greenpanel Industries Limited ₹153, price ₹159, upside -3.7%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹151.24 – ₹599.73 · fair‑value band ₹102.08 – ₹205.84 · the ₹158.59 price screens above the ₹152.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Greenpanel Industries Limited engages in the manufacturing and sale of plywood, medium density fibre board (MDF), and allied products under the Greenpanel brand name in India and internationally. The company provides high-density fibreboard, fire-resistant, pre-laminated, and veneered MDF, wooden flooring, block boards, and doors.
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Greenpanel Industries Limited engages in the manufacturing and sale of plywood, medium density fibre board (MDF), and allied products under the Greenpanel brand name in India and internationally. The company provides high-density fibreboard, fire-resistant, pre-laminated, and veneered MDF, wooden flooring, block boards, and doors. Greenpanel Industries Limited was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Gurugram, India.
Stock analysis
Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL) currently trades at ₹158.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹152.78, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹85.15 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the ₹158.59 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ₹58.25, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹102.08 (bear) to ₹205.84 (bull), the price of ₹158.59 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Greenpanel Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹15.4B in FY2026 versus ₹16.3B in FY2022, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was −₹291M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹19.4B (≈ $202M) · P/E ratio 293.7 · P/S ratio 1.25 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.5400 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −1.9% · Return on equity −2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −4%, GREENPANEL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹102.08Fair Value ₹152.78Bull ₹205.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.2737 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
’19
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.1% (2021) → −1.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+13.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.3% a year for the price and +8.7% for the forecasts.
Compare Greenpanel Industries Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 71 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−3.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)1.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.21× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
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Is Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹152.78 versus a price of ₹158.59, about −4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GREENPANEL?
Our model-based fair value for Greenpanel Industries Limited is ₹152.78 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹158.59.
What is the quality score of GREENPANEL?
Greenpanel Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹152.78 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹102.08, optimistic scenario ₹205.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Greenpanel Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹152.78, about −4% upside versus a price of ₹158.59 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹102.08, optimistic scenario ₹205.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
Greenpanel Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹15.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Greenpanel Industries Limited pay a dividend?
Greenpanel Industries Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.19% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Greenpanel Industries Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +25.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.0 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GREENPANEL use?
Our models discount Greenpanel Industries Limited at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.43, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Greenpanel Industries Limited that is +25.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Greenpanel Industries Limited grew +9.0 % a year. The price currently implies +25.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Greenpanel Industries Limited (+25.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.82 %: that much free cash flow Greenpanel Industries Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Greenpanel Industries Limited it is ₹152.78 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ₹158.59. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Greenpanel Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, GREENPANEL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹158.59, fair value ₹152.78, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GREENPANEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹158.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹152.78). For Greenpanel Industries Limited the two are ₹5.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Greenpanel Industries Limited worth?
The market values Greenpanel Industries Limited at about ₹19.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ₹158.59; our models calculate a fair value of ₹152.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GREENPANEL?
Our models span a range for Greenpanel Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹102.08, base ₹152.78, optimistic ₹205.84 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ₹158.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GREENPANEL?
Greenpanel Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 293.7 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹152.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 12.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Greenpanel Industries Limited (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity −2.1%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GREENPANEL from its 52-week high?
Greenpanel Industries Limited trades at ₹158.59, about 49% below its 52-week high of ₹310.20 and 5% above the low of ₹151.24 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹152.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Greenpanel Industries Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Stella-Jones Inc, Boise Cascade Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Greenpanel Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ₹158.59, calculated fair value ₹152.78 (−4%), Quality Score 55/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GREENPANEL calculated?
We run Greenpanel Industries Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹152.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Greenpanel Industries Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹158.59. Our model-based fair value is ₹152.78, about −4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Greenpanel Industries Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (₹102.08 to ₹205.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Greenpanel Industries Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
The market capitalisation of Greenpanel Industries Limited is ₹19.4B (≈ $202M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Greenpanel Industries Limited is 1.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
Earnings per share at Greenpanel Industries Limited are ₹0.5400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 293.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
The dividend yield of Greenpanel Industries Limited is 0.2% (payout 55.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
The net margin of Greenpanel Industries Limited is −1.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Greenpanel Industries Limited is −2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Greenpanel Industries Limited is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
The operating margin of Greenpanel Industries Limited is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
Revenue at Greenpanel Industries Limited is growing +6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL)?
Earnings per share at Greenpanel Industries Limited are growing −95.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL) carry?
The net debt of Greenpanel Industries Limited is ₹1.7B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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