Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹23.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹50.90 to ₹101.80 (+100.0%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −13.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹134.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹69.30 to ₹134.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹152.49 – ₹599.73 · fair‑value band ₹69.30 – ₹134.32 · the ₹174.54 price screens above the ₹101.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Greenpanel Industries Limited (GREENPANEL) currently trades at ₹174.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹101.80, implying the stock looks roughly 41.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Greenpanel Industries Limited generated revenue of ₹15.4B at a net margin of -1.9%. Revenue grew 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.1%. Net debt stands at ₹1.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹69.30 (bear case) to ₹134.32 (bull case); at ₹174.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at -42%, GREENPANEL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹87.00) versus Dividend Discount (₹4.76). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Greenpanel Industries Limited engages in the manufacturing and sale of plywood, medium density fibre board (MDF), and allied products under the Greenpanel brand name in India and internationally. The company provides high-density fibreboard, fire-resistant, pre-laminated, and veneered MDF, wooden flooring, block boards, and doors.
Full company description
Greenpanel Industries Limited engages in the manufacturing and sale of plywood, medium density fibre board (MDF), and allied products under the Greenpanel brand name in India and internationally. The company provides high-density fibreboard, fire-resistant, pre-laminated, and veneered MDF, wooden flooring, block boards, and doors. Greenpanel Industries Limited was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Gurugram, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Greenpanel Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹15.4B in FY2026 versus ₹16.3B in FY2022, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was −₹291M in FY2026.
GREENPANEL screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →
Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 79 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $194.83 | $145.26 | -25% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$97.70 | C$33.38 | -66% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $92.82 | $107.07 | +15% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$75.22 | C$92.56 | +23% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $84.25 | $51.39 | -39% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹763.85 | ₹201.01 | -74% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥12.58 | ¥14.78 | +17% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$15.73 | C$4.54 | -71% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$14.38 | C$6.43 | -55% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.17 | ¥0.6700 | -79% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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