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Graphex Group (GRFXF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $255M

GG Graphex Group logo Graphex Group GRFXF · US
Price$0.0100
Fair Value$0.0085
Upside-15.0%
Quality12/100
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Weak Growth
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Low Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (12/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1.10 $0.0013 Fair Value $0.0085 Feb 2022 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

54‑month range $0.0013 – $1.10 · the $0.0100 price screens above the $0.0085 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Graphex Group (GRFXF) currently trades at $0.0100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 12/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $138M. Revenue declined 35.5% year over year. Net debt stands at $180M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -15%, GRFXF screens cheaper than that median.

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $138M
Revenue growth (YoY) -35.5%
Net margin -265%
Return on equity -227%
Free cash flow −$51.0M FY2025
Operating margin -130%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0700
Net debt $180M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 12/100

Of which business quality 13 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Graphex Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing and sale of graphite and graphene products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, and internationally. It operates through Graphene Product, and Landscape Architecture Design segments.

Full company description

Graphex Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing and sale of graphite and graphene products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, and internationally. It operates through Graphene Product, and Landscape Architecture Design segments. The company offers spherical graphite, coated spherical graphite, and other related graphene products used in electric vehicles and other application. It also offers its products to battery markets, giga factories, growth drivers, graphene tech, spherical graphite usage, and other competitive markets. The company was formerly known as Earthasia International Holdings Limited and changed its name to Graphex Group Limited in April 2021. Graphex Group Limited was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Graphex Group reported revenue of $138M in FY2025 versus $391M in FY2021, a compound −23.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$365M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$138M
Latest YoY
−26.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−26.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.9%
Revenue −23.0%/yr
FY21 $391M
FY22 $341M
FY23 $292M
FY24 $188M
FY25 $138M
Net income
FY21 −$53.5M
FY22 −$69.7M
FY23 −$113M
FY24 −$111M
FY25 −$365M

GRFXF screens 15% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Graphex Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRFXF

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 13 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −15% · Above median
Return on assets -10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -130% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -36% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 2.72× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 8.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.86× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 13 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Graphex Group (GRFXF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0085 versus a price of $0.0100, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GRFXF?
Our model-based fair value for Graphex Group is $0.0085 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0100.
What is the quality score of GRFXF?
Graphex Group has a Quality Score of 12/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Graphex Group (GRFXF)?
Graphex Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $138M (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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