Greggs plc (GRG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 1.7B GBX
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from £19.77 to £21.90 (+10.8%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −6.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range £13.72 – £18.89 · fair‑value band £12.64 – £32.96 · the £16.00 price screens below the £21.90 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Greggs plc (GRG) currently trades at £16.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £21.90 — implying the stock looks roughly 36.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Greggs plc generated revenue of £2.2B at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.4%. Net debt stands at £404M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Greggs plc operates as a food-on-the-go retailer in the United Kingdom. It offers a range of fresh bakery products, sandwiches, and drinks. The company is involved in the property holding, non-trading, and trustee businesses. It sells products to franchise and wholesale partners for sale in their own outlets. The company operates through its own shops and delivery channels. Greggs plc was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Newcastle upon Tyne, the United Kingdom.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Greggs plc reported revenue of £2.2B in FY2025 versus £1.2B in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was £122M in FY2025, compounding +1.0%/yr from FY2021.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.