Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co (GT) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.8B · ISIN US3825501014
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co
GT · US
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −12.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 65% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($18.37). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.58 – $24.14 · fair‑value band $18.37 – $28.58 · the $6.35 price screens below the $18.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co (GT) currently trades at $6.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.37, implying the stock looks roughly 189.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co generated revenue of $17.9B at a net margin of -11.6%. Revenue declined 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -50.0%. Net debt stands at $6.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $18.37 (bear case) to $28.58 (bull case); at $6.35, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 189%, GT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($25.08) versus Asset-Based ($7.54). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (66).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells tires and related products and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
Full company description
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells tires and related products and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers various lines of rubber tires for automobiles, trucks, buses, aircraft, motorcycles, farm implements, and other applications under the Goodyear, Cooper, Kelly, Mastercraft, Roadmaster, Debica, Sava, Fulda, Mickey Thompson, Avon, and Remington brands, as well as various house brands and private-label brands. It also provides retread truck and aviation tires; miscellaneous other products and services; automotive maintenance and repair services under the Goodyear or Just Tires names; and new tires, retreads, mechanical service, preventive maintenance, and roadside assistance to trucking fleets, as well as manufactures and sells tread rubber and other tire retreading materials. In addition, the company operates approximately 750 retail outlets, which offer products for sale to consumer and commercial customers, as well as repair and other services. Further, it sells its products and installation services online through its websites, www.goodyear.com for consumer tires and www.goodyeartrucktires.com for commercial tires; and automotive repair and maintenance items, automotive equipment and accessories, and other items to dealers and consumers. The company sells its products through a network of independent dealers, regional distributors, retail outlets, and retailers. The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company was incorporated in 1898 and is headquartered in Akron, Ohio.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co reported revenue of $18.3B in FY2025 versus $17.5B in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.7B in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- 5 Revealing Analyst Questions From Goodyear’s Q2 Earnings Call
- Goodyear Tire (GT) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Goodyear Lost $204 Million This Quarter On Purpose — Here's the Math
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 656 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $88.50 | $47.50 | -46% |
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| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥57.67 | ¥84.47 | +46% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹165.30 | ₹80.63 | -51% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $66.00 | $68.17 | +3% |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $137.51 | $58.07 | -58% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹48,700 | ₹11,534 | -76% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥50.30 | ¥28.28 | -44% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,063 | ₹393.20 | -81% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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