GTNA Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $852M
GTNA
GTNA · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $58.56 to $9.04 (−84.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −21.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 54% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($3.87 to $15.32). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.00 – $21.16 · fair‑value band $3.87 – $15.32 · the $5.88 price screens below the $9.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
GTNA (GTNA) currently trades at $5.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.04, implying the stock looks roughly 53.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at $3.5B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 2.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.87 (bear case) to $15.32 (bull case); at $5.88, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 54%, GTNA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($62.91) versus Growth DCF ($1.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 1
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
GTNA reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2024 versus $2.4B in FY2020, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was $375M in FY2024, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2020.
Watch GTNA: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Communication Services · 1202 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Media & Publishing” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Media & Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Megacable Holdings MEGACPO | 62.14 MXN | 72.22 MXN | +16% |
| GMA7 GMA7 | 4.39 PHP | 9.86 PHP | +125% |
| SM Culture & Contents Co 048550 | 1,509 KRW | 1,113 KRW | -26% |
| ABS ABS | 3.14 PHP | 3.07 PHP | -2% |
| Showbox Corp 086980 | 1,996 KRW | 3,511 KRW | +76% |
| DIGITAL CHOSUN Inc 033130 | 1,965 KRW | 2,439 KRW | +24% |
| SM Life Design Group 063440 | 1,136 KRW | 2,085 KRW | +84% |
| PLI PLI | 6.70 PLN | 1.88 PLN | -72% |
| MB MB | 0.2070 PHP | 0.0400 PHP | -81% |
| eMnet Inc 123570 | 1,667 KRW | 1,497 KRW | -10% |
Compare GTNA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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