Gunkul Engineering Public Company (GUNKUL) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · TH · Market cap 47.1B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +10.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.53 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (1.55 THB to 3.53 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.26 THB – 5.86 THB · fair‑value band 1.55 THB – 3.53 THB · the 5.15 THB price screens above the 2.54 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Gunkul Engineering Public Company (GUNKUL) currently trades at 5.15 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.54 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 50.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gunkul Engineering Public Company generated revenue of 8.0B THB at a net margin of 23.1%. Revenue grew 37.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. Net debt stands at 12.6B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.55 THB (bear case) to 3.53 THB (bull case); at 5.15 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 313% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -51%, GUNKUL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (4.46 THB) versus Economic Profit (0.6300 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gunkul Engineering Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, generates and sells renewable energy in Thailand, Japan, and Vietnam. The company operates in four segments: Manufacturing and Selling of Equipment for Electrical Systems; Generating and Selling Electricity; Construction Service; and Maintenance Service, Rental Service and Others.
Full company description
Gunkul Engineering Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, generates and sells renewable energy in Thailand, Japan, and Vietnam. The company operates in four segments: Manufacturing and Selling of Equipment for Electrical Systems; Generating and Selling Electricity; Construction Service; and Maintenance Service, Rental Service and Others. The company operates solar farms and rooftops, and wind farms; and operates and maintains power plants. It also constructs and invests in the electricity generation and sale business; manufactures, distributes, imports, and exports equipment for electrical systems; manufactures and sells energy-saving products; investsting; and provides training services. In addition, the company offers cables and accessories, fuses and switches, hardware and connectors, insulators and preformed products, lighting protection products, service and maintenance equipment, tools and maintenance equipment products, grounding systems, live part cover and animal protection products, circuit breakers, instrument transformers, street lighting, and meters and accessories; and led and streetlamps, floodlights, solar systems, batteries, bipv glass, flexible solar PV, and solar water pump products. Further, it provides drone thermal scan, peer-to-peer energy trading platform, energy living solutions for residential platforms, virtual power plant sandbox, battery energy storage system and virtual power plant, volt energy marketplace, and godungfaifaa online marketplace services. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. Gunkul Engineering Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of Gunkul Group Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gunkul Engineering Public Company reported revenue of 8.2B THB in FY2025 versus 9.3B THB in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was 1.8B THB in FY2025, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2021.
GUNKUL screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Constellation Energy Corporation →
Peer Group
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 78 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constellation Energy Corporation CEG | $257.57 | $89.08 | -65% |
| Vistra Corp VST | $158.86 | $47.59 | -70% |
| Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER | ₹218.45 | ₹75.57 | -65% |
| CGN Power Co 003816 | ¥3.88 | ¥3.13 | -19% |
| NRG Energy, Inc NRG | $137.90 | $56.02 | -59% |
| Gulf Development Public Company GULF | 67.50 THB | 40.44 THB | -40% |
| Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL | ₹1,730 | ₹342.02 | -80% |
| Talen Energy Corporation TLN | $372.37 | $44.67 | -88% |
| Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 | ¥5.80 | ¥4.95 | -15% |
| Power Assets Holdings 0006 | HK$58.45 | HK$31.90 | -45% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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