GWA Group (GWA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$629M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from A$2.72 to A$2.73 (+0.4%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +3.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (A$2.01 to A$3.87) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from A$2.01 (bear) to A$3.87 (bull), base A$2.73. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.34 – A$2.62 · fair‑value band A$2.01 – A$3.87 · the A$2.40 price screens below the A$2.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
GWA Group (GWA) currently trades at A$2.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$2.73, implying the stock looks roughly 13.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, GWA Group generated revenue of A$423M at a net margin of 11.0%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.5%. Net debt stands at A$120M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$2.01 (bear case) to A$3.87 (bull case); at A$2.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 14%, GWA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$2.78) versus Asset-Based (A$0.7700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GWA Group Limited research, designs, manufactures, imports, and markets building fixtures and fittings to residential and commercial premises in Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Full company description
GWA Group Limited research, designs, manufactures, imports, and markets building fixtures and fittings to residential and commercial premises in Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It provides vitreous China toilet suites, basins, plastic cisterns, taps and showers, kitchen sinks, baths, laundry tubs, smart products, and bathroom accessories, as well as domestic water control valves under the Caroma, Methven, Dorf, and Clark brands. The company also distributes and installs various products through a range of distribution and customer channels. GWA Group Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Pinkenba, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GWA Group reported revenue of A$418M in FY2025 versus A$406M in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$43.4M in FY2025, compounding +5.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −2.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $469.98 | $212.34 | -55% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.81 | $45.65 | -68% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $68.61 | $17.35 | -75% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €76.62 | €101.60 | +33% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 523.20 | CHF 307.66 | -41% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $543.93 | $363.09 | -33% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €70.76 | -19% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $78.04 | $54.36 | -30% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,420 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 36.03 | kr 25.37 | -30% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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