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The Goodheart-Willcox Company (GWOX) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $182M

TG The Goodheart-Willcox Company logo The Goodheart-Willcox Company GWOX · US
Price$381.00
Fair Value$570.55
Upside+49.8%
Quality66/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.27% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range $444.62 – $883.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −4.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 50% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($444.62). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($444.62 to $883.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$426.42 $23.53 Fair Value $570.55 Jan 2017 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $23.53 – $426.42 · fair‑value band $444.62 – $883.47 · the $381.00 price screens below the $570.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

The Goodheart-Willcox Company (GWOX) currently trades at $381.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $570.55, implying the stock looks roughly 49.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, The Goodheart-Willcox Company generated revenue of $18.6M at a net margin of 16.1%. Revenue grew 17.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $31.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $444.62 (bear case) to $883.47 (bull case); at $381.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 50%, GWOX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $527.11 $775.04 $1,110 80
Residual Income $164.06 $206.67 $817.80 76
Rev-Margin DCF $415.23 $622.67 $894.31 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $537.21 $827.99 $1,253 38
Owner Earnings $451.27 $688.92 $1,036 31
5Y Revenue Exit $415.23 $622.92 $896.65 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $460.83 $717.82 $1,035 41
5Y P/E Exit $559.42 $922.98 $1,339 38
10Y Revenue Exit $452.37 $649.80 $938.85 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $485.33 $709.57 $1,039 37
10Y P/E Exit $541.53 $838.78 $1,258 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $230.75 $1,114 $1,533 54
Lynch FV $297.64 $425.20 $552.75 50
PEG = 1.0 $297.64 $425.20 $552.75 46
EPV $247.20 $268.83 $286.40 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $160.02 $268.02 $347.88 70
DDM Multi-Stage $160.02 $254.21 $288.34 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $559.91 $746.55 $933.19 63
P/S Multiple $342.48 $456.64 $570.80 58
P/B Multiple $205.67 $274.23 $342.79 55
EV/EBIT $474.46 $610.32 $746.17 53
EV/EBITDA $444.69 $570.62 $696.55 54
EV/Revenue $340.87 $458.29 $575.71 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $39.18 $52.50 $78.35 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $527.11 $775.04 $1,110 80
Rev-Margin DCF $415.23 $622.67 $894.31 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $164.06 $206.67 $817.80 76
ROIC Compounder $251.48 $278.10 $302.41 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $475.72 $679.60 $883.47 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($709.57) versus Asset-Based ($52.50). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $18.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.7%
Net margin 16.1%
Return on equity 24.7%
Free cash flow $23.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.1
More key figures
Operating margin 3.6%
EPS (TTM) $63.99
Dividend yield 0.3%
Net cash $31.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 44
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Goodheart-Willcox Company, Inc. publishes print and digital textbooks. It also produces online courses and other instructional resources for middle school, high school, higher education, and professional training.

Full company description

The Goodheart-Willcox Company, Inc. publishes print and digital textbooks. It also produces online courses and other instructional resources for middle school, high school, higher education, and professional training. The company publishes books in the areas of anatomy/physiology, FCS comprehensive, journalism, applied mathematics, FCS family living, life management, automotive, finance, manufacturing/metals, CAD/drafting, floral design, marketing, career education, food/nutrition, print reading, child care/human development/parenting, health, professional, clothing and fashion, health sciences, software certification, communication, hospitality, technology/engineering, construction, HVAC-R, video game design, culinary arts, information technology, visual technology, electricity/electronics, interior design/housing, and welding. In addition, it offers online textbooks, G-W online courses, companion Websites, and CourseSmart eTextbooks. The Goodheart-Willcox Company, Inc. was founded in 1921 and is based in Tinley Park, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Goodheart-Willcox Company reported revenue of $60.8M in FY2025 versus $32.3M in FY2021, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was $15.8M in FY2025, compounding +41.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$60.8M
Latest YoY
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.4%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Revenue +17.1%/yr
FY21 $32.3M
FY22 $39.3M
FY23 $52.9M
FY24 $54.2M
FY25 $60.8M
Net income +41.9%/yr
FY21 $3.9M
FY22 $2.9M
FY23 $11.0M
FY24 $12.1M
FY25 $15.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Goodheart-Willcox Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GWOX

Peer Group

Publishing · 111 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Above median
Fair Value upside +50% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 19% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 38
FUTURE 89 · sector 0
PAST 99 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 5 · sector 57

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Goodheart-Willcox Company (GWOX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $570.55 versus a price of $381.00, about +50% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GWOX?
Our model-based fair value for The Goodheart-Willcox Company is $570.55 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $381.00.
What is the quality score of GWOX?
The Goodheart-Willcox Company has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Goodheart-Willcox Company (GWOX)?
The Goodheart-Willcox Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GWOX?
The net profit margin of The Goodheart-Willcox Company is about 16.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Goodheart-Willcox Company pay a dividend?
The Goodheart-Willcox Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.27% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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