HOTEL ROYAL LIMITED (H12) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SG · Market cap 266M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −3.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.80 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (0.6800 SGD to 1.80 SGD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.59 SGD – 2.97 SGD · fair‑value band 0.6800 SGD – 1.80 SGD · the 2.11 SGD price screens above the 1.30 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
HOTEL ROYAL LIMITED (H12) currently trades at 2.11 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.30 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 38.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, HOTEL ROYAL LIMITED generated revenue of 74.1M SGD at a net margin of 13.5%. Revenue grew 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. Net debt stands at 139M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.6800 SGD (bear case) to 1.80 SGD (bull case); at 2.11 SGD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -38%, H12 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (4.11 SGD) versus Growth DCF (0.1500 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hotel Royal Limited, an investment holding company, operates in the hotelier business in Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, and New Zealand. It operates through Hotel Operations, Property Investments, and Financial Investments segments.
Full company description
Hotel Royal Limited, an investment holding company, operates in the hotelier business in Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, and New Zealand. It operates through Hotel Operations, Property Investments, and Financial Investments segments. The company owns, operates, and manages hotels; and owns and manages commercial properties, as well as engages in owning and letting out investment properties, including residential buildings, factory units, shopping centers, retail and office spaces, childcare areas, and car park lots. It also invests in portfolio of shares, bonds, funds, and other investments. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HOTEL ROYAL LIMITED reported revenue of 74.1M SGD in FY2025 versus 26.3M SGD in FY2021, a compound +29.6%/yr. Reported net income was 10.0M SGD in FY2025.
H12 screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →
Peer Group
Lodging · 165 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $354.58 | $132.35 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $322.53 | $122.02 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $161.82 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $178.37 | $46.78 | -74% |
| H World Group HTHT | $41.25 | $47.78 | +16% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹724.00 | ₹253.67 | -65% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 118,200 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -69% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
| Makkah Construction and Development Company 4100 | 81.95 SAR | 36.25 SAR | -56% |
| Minor International Public Company MINT | 22.90 THB | 32.82 THB | +43% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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