Türkiye Halk Bankasi A.S., (HALKB) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TR · Market cap 266B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −11.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 33% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.20 TRY – 50.35 TRY · fair‑value band 36.82 TRY – 61.36 TRY · the 37.02 TRY price screens below the 49.09 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Türkiye Halk Bankasi A.S., (HALKB) currently trades at 37.02 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 49.09 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 32.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Türkiye Halk Bankasi A.S., generated revenue of 169B TRY at a net margin of 17.9%. Revenue grew 67.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. Net debt stands at 57.1B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 36.82 TRY (bear case) to 61.36 TRY (bull case); at 37.02 TRY, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 33%, HALKB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (1,125 TRY) versus Asset-Based (20.36 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Türkiye Halk Bankasi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, offers various banking products and services. The company provides deposit products, including e-deposits, deposit accounts with investment funds, child accounts, accumulated deposit accounts, producing deposit accounts, current TL accounts, time deposit TL/FX accounts, current FX accounts, gold …
Full company description
Türkiye Halk Bankasi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, offers various banking products and services. The company provides deposit products, including e-deposits, deposit accounts with investment funds, child accounts, accumulated deposit accounts, producing deposit accounts, current TL accounts, time deposit TL/FX accounts, current FX accounts, gold deposit accounts, and safety deposit boxes. It also offers personal, auto, mortgage, and overdraft loans; letter of credit, commercial, and cash and non-cash loans; medium and long-term, and investment and project loans; loans from international financial institutions; and foreign trade loans. In addition, the company provides various cards and payment services; insurance products; derivative products; and investment products comprising investment funds, Fon24, domestic government bonds, bank bills and bonds, eurobonds, repos, forwards, options, swaps, and secured options, as well as cash management services. Further, it offers Internet, mobile, and SMS banking services. Additionally, the company is involved in investment in capital market instruments based on real estate, real estate projects, and rights based on real estate; financial leasing; factoring; financing; savings; financing and asset management; and capital markets activities. Türkiye Halk Bankasi A.S. operates domestic and foreign branches in Cyprus and Bahrain and representative offices in England and Iran. Türkiye Halk Bankasi A.S. was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey. Türkiye Halk Bankasi A.S. operates as a subsidiary of Turkey Wealth Fund.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Türkiye Halk Bankasi A.S., reported revenue of 172B TRL in FY2025 versus 24.6B TRL in FY2021, a compound +62.7%/yr. Reported net income was 27.1B TRL in FY2025, compounding +96.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1084 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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