Happinet Corporation (HAPYF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $471M
Happinet Corporation
HAPYF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $28.90 to $28.44 (−1.6%) since Jun 25, 2026.
A solid business, screening 162% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($21.33). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
30‑month range $9.06 – $917,746 · fair‑value band $21.33 – $35.55 · the $10.88 price screens below the $28.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Happinet Corporation (HAPYF) currently trades at $10.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.44, implying the stock looks roughly 161.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Happinet Corporation generated revenue of $439B at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 22.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 12.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $21.33 (bear case) to $35.55 (bull case); at $10.88, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 162%, HAPYF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($41.60) versus Asset-Based ($5.69). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Happinet Corporation operates as an entertainment trading company in Japan. The company manufactures and sells toys, trading cards, playthings, and other toys, as well as audio-visual software; and plans, develops, and sells video and music, and video game software and hardware-related products.
Full company description
Happinet Corporation operates as an entertainment trading company in Japan. The company manufactures and sells toys, trading cards, playthings, and other toys, as well as audio-visual software; and plans, develops, and sells video and music, and video game software and hardware-related products. It also sells arcade game machines and amusement arcade-related products; and installs and operates toy vending machines and operates capsule toy specialty stores. The company was formerly known as Tosho Corporation and changed its name to Happinet Corporation in October 1991. Happinet Corporation was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Happinet Corporation reported revenue of $439B in FY2026 versus $282B in FY2022, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was $10.1B in FY2026, compounding +29.8%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 110.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -27% |
Compare Happinet Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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