Hartford Creative Group (HFUS) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $100M
Hartford Creative Group
HFUS · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
A solid business, but screening 85% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.4400 to $1.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1251 – $14.60 · fair‑value band $0.4400 – $1.11 · the $4.00 price screens above the $0.5900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Hartford Creative Group (HFUS) currently trades at $4.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5900, implying the stock looks roughly 85.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hartford Creative Group generated revenue of $2.4M at a net margin of 56.1%. Revenue grew 196.3% year over year. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 80.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.4400 (bear case) to $1.11 (bull case); at $4.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at -85%, HFUS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($2.04) versus Asset-Based ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hartford Creative Group, Inc. provides marketing solutions in China. The company offers vertical integration services from early-stage advertising video creativity, shooting, editing, to advertising operation and management on social media apps.
Full company description
Hartford Creative Group, Inc. provides marketing solutions in China. The company offers vertical integration services from early-stage advertising video creativity, shooting, editing, to advertising operation and management on social media apps. The company provides placing ad products on TikTok, Toutiao, Kwai, RED, WeChat, Baidu and other third-party affiliated websites and mobile applications. It serves advertising buyers, comprising small- and medium-sized companies, large advertising holding companies, independent advertising agencies, and mid-market advertising service organizations. The company was formerly known as Hartford Great Health Corp. and changed its name to Hartford Creative Group, Inc. in May 2024. Hartford Creative Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Rosemead, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hartford Creative Group reported revenue of $2.0M in FY2025 versus $553K in FY2021, a compound +38.5%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1M in FY2025.
HFUS screens 85% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →
Peer Group
Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AppLovin Corporation APP | $506.98 | $181.37 | -64% |
| Publicis Groupe S.A PUB | €87.16 | €146.36 | +68% |
| Omnicom Group OMC | $80.75 | $99.84 | +24% |
| Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 | ¥5.00 | ¥4.08 | -18% |
| The Trade Desk, Inc TTD | $19.37 | $20.76 | +7% |
| BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 | ¥13.81 | ¥1.50 | -89% |
| JCDecaux SE DEC | €21.28 | €20.99 | -1% |
| WPP plc WPP | $18.13 | $18.56 | +2% |
| Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 | ¥28.85 | ¥5.62 | -81% |
| Mobvista Inc 1860 | HK$11.15 | HK$6.43 | -42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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