High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of High Coast Distillery AB SEK 3.14, price SEK 27.00, upside -88.4%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range kr 26.00 – kr 71.00 · fair‑value band kr 2.36 – kr 3.93 · the kr 27.00 price screens above the kr 3.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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High Coast Distillery AB (publ) manufactures, stores, bottles, markets, and sells single malt whiskey in Sweden. The company also exports its products worldwide. High Coast Distillery AB (publ) was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Bjärtrå, Sweden.
Stock analysis
High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B) currently trades at kr 27.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 3.14, 88.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of kr 12.47 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the kr 27.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 0.4000, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 2.36 (bear) to kr 3.93 (bull), the price of kr 27.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
High Coast Distillery AB reported revenue of 57.6M SEK in FY2025 versus 59.6M SEK in FY2021, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was 860K SEK in FY2025, compounding −47.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 155M SEK (≈ $15.4M) · P/E ratio 57.6 · P/S ratio 0.86 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.4900 · Net margin 1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% · Free cash flow −17.4M SEK · Net debt 78.1M SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −88%, HIGHCO-B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (kr 0.4000 to kr 23.44). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear kr 2.36Fair Value kr 3.14Bull kr 3.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.3705 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−35.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−35.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 14%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 92 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "High Coast Distillery AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HIGHCO-B
Frequently asked questions
Is High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 3.14 versus a price of kr 27.00, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HIGHCO-B?
Our model-based fair value for High Coast Distillery AB is kr 3.14 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 27.00.
What is the quality score of HIGHCO-B?
High Coast Distillery AB has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 3.14 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 2.36, optimistic scenario kr 3.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the High Coast Distillery AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 3.14, about −88% upside versus a price of kr 27.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 2.36, optimistic scenario kr 3.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For High Coast Distillery AB it is kr 3.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 27.00. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is High Coast Distillery AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HIGHCO-B trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 27.00, fair value kr 3.14, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HIGHCO-B?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 27.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 3.14). For High Coast Distillery AB the two are kr 23.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is High Coast Distillery AB worth?
The market values High Coast Distillery AB at about 155M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 27.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 3.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HIGHCO-B?
Our models span a range for High Coast Distillery AB: cautious scenario kr 2.36, base kr 3.14, optimistic kr 3.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 27.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HIGHCO-B?
High Coast Distillery AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 57.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 3.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, EV/EBITDA 5.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B)?
Balance-sheet figures for High Coast Distillery AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HIGHCO-B from its 52-week high?
High Coast Distillery AB trades at kr 27.00, about 41% below its 52-week high of kr 45.40 and 4% above the low of kr 26.00 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 3.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to High Coast Distillery AB?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Pernod Ricard SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is High Coast Distillery AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 27.00, calculated fair value kr 3.14 (−88%), Quality Score 38/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HIGHCO-B calculated?
We run High Coast Distillery AB through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 3.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. High Coast Distillery AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 27.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 3.14, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with High Coast Distillery AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 3.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of High Coast Distillery AB
How large is the market capitalisation of High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B)?
The market capitalisation of High Coast Distillery AB is 155M SEK (≈ $15.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B)?
The price-to-sales ratio of High Coast Distillery AB is 0.86 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B)?
Earnings per share at High Coast Distillery AB are kr 0.4900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 57.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B)?
The net margin of High Coast Distillery AB is 1.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of High Coast Distillery AB is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B) generate?
The free cash flow of High Coast Distillery AB is −17.4M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does High Coast Distillery AB (HIGHCO-B) carry?
The net debt of High Coast Distillery AB is 78.1M SEK (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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