Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹548B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from ₹947.80 to ₹1,705 (+79.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹2,262). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹1,136 to ₹2,262) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹494.50 – ₹4,550 · fair‑value band ₹1,136 – ₹2,262 · the ₹4,499 price screens above the ₹1,705 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Radico Khaitan Limited (RADICO) currently trades at ₹4,499, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,705, implying the stock looks roughly 62.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Radico Khaitan Limited generated revenue of ₹58.5B at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 19.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.5%. Net debt stands at ₹4.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹1,136 (bear case) to ₹2,262 (bull case); at ₹4,499, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -62%, RADICO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹1,123) versus Dividend Discount (₹68.75). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 93
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Radico Khaitan Limited engages in the manufacture and trading of Indian made foreign liquor (IMFL) and country liquor in India, the United States, and internationally. It provides IMFL products in various categories of whisky, brandy, rum, gin, vodka, and liqueurs. The company also provides bottling services to other spirit manufacturers.
Full company description
Radico Khaitan Limited engages in the manufacture and trading of Indian made foreign liquor (IMFL) and country liquor in India, the United States, and internationally. It provides IMFL products in various categories of whisky, brandy, rum, gin, vodka, and liqueurs. The company also provides bottling services to other spirit manufacturers. It offers its products to state government, state-owned corporation, canteen stores department, private distributors, and retailers in open market. The company was formerly known as Rampur Distillery Company. Radico Khaitan Limited was founded in 1943 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Radico Khaitan Limited reported revenue of ₹60.5B in FY2026 versus ₹28.7B in FY2022, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.0B in FY2026, compounding +23.1%/yr from FY2022.
RADICO screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →
Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,251 | ¥1,238 | -1% |
| Diageo plc DEON | 1,487 MXN | 1,239 MXN | -17% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥73.69 | ¥48.44 | -34% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥110.50 | ¥185.80 | +68% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €65.24 | €76.68 | +18% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥83.12 | ¥149.17 | +79% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $26.60 | $28.15 | +6% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,376 | ₹440.56 | -68% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4450 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +55% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥38.08 | ¥27.82 | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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