HIL LTD. (HIL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of HIL LTD. ₹146, price ₹1,394, upside -89.5%, quality 21 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹1,192 – ₹6,168 · fair‑value band ₹109.65 – ₹182.75 · the ₹1,394 price screens above the ₹146.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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HIL Limited produces and distributes building materials and other solutions in India and internationally. It operates through Roofing Solutions, Building Solutions, Polymer Solutions, Flooring Solutions, and Others segments.
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HIL Limited produces and distributes building materials and other solutions in India and internationally. It operates through Roofing Solutions, Building Solutions, Polymer Solutions, Flooring Solutions, and Others segments. The Roofing Solutions segment provides fiber cement sheets, colored steel sheets, cement based non-asbestos corrugated sheets, plaster, ready mix primers, block joining mortars, and tile adhesives under the Charminar and Charminar Fortune brands. Its Building Solutions segment offers wet walling and dry walling solutions, including autoclaved fly ash blocks, smart fix, smart bond, panels and boards; and aerocon panels and dry-mix under the Birla Aerocon brand. The Polymer Solutions segment offers UPVC, CPVC, column pipes, foamcore, pressure and UGD pipes, and fittings and water tanks under the Birla HIL Pipes brand; and wall putty under the Birla HIL Putty brand. Its Flooring Solutions segment provides laminate, engineered and resilient flooring, skirtings, and wall panel under the Parador brand. The Others segments generates electricity through wind power; and manufactures material handling, and processing plant and equipment. The company was formerly known as Hyderabad Industries Limited and changed its name to HIL Limited in July 2012. HIL Limited was incorporated in 1946 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
HIL LTD. (HIL) currently trades at ₹1,394, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹146.20, 89.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹898.43 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹1,394 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹36.84, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹109.65 (bear) to ₹182.75 (bull), the price of ₹1,394 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
HIL LTD. reported revenue of ₹1.6B in FY2025 versus ₹475M in FY2021, a compound +36.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹61.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹13.9B (≈ $144M) · P/S ratio 0.38 · EPS (TTM) ₹−43.70 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 3.8% · Return on equity −2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% · Operating margin −1.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −90%, HIL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹36.84 to ₹898.43). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹109.65Fair Value ₹146.20Bull ₹182.75
Price ₹1,394 · Upside -89.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.48/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+3.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 5%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 12.3%/yr over ~6Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 256 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−89.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−0.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−1.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.12× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)45· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)43· sector 42
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HIL LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HIL
Frequently asked questions
Is HIL LTD. (HIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹146.20 versus a price of ₹1,394, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HIL?
Our model-based fair value for HIL LTD. is ₹146.20 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,394.
What is the quality score of HIL?
HIL LTD. has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HIL LTD. (HIL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹146.20 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹109.65, optimistic scenario ₹182.75. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HIL LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹146.20, about −90% upside versus a price of ₹1,394 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹109.65, optimistic scenario ₹182.75. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does HIL LTD. pay a dividend?
HIL LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.15% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of HIL LTD. (HIL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HIL LTD. it is ₹146.20 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹1,394. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HIL LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, HIL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,394, fair value ₹146.20, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HIL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,394); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹146.20). For HIL LTD. the two are ₹1,248 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HIL LTD. worth?
The market values HIL LTD. at about ₹13.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,394; our models calculate a fair value of ₹146.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HIL?
Our models span a range for HIL LTD.: cautious scenario ₹109.65, base ₹146.20, optimistic ₹182.75 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹1,394). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of HIL LTD. (HIL)?
Balance-sheet figures for HIL LTD. (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −2.7%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HIL from its 52-week high?
HIL LTD. trades at ₹1,394, about 29% below its 52-week high of ₹1,970 and 17% above the low of ₹1,192 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹146.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HIL LTD.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HIL LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹1,394, calculated fair value ₹146.20 (−90%), Quality Score 21/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HIL calculated?
We run HIL LTD. through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹146.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. HIL LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HIL LTD. (HIL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹1,394. Our model-based fair value is ₹146.20, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HIL LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹182.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of HIL LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of HIL LTD. (HIL)?
The market capitalisation of HIL LTD. is ₹13.9B (≈ $144M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HIL LTD. (HIL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HIL LTD. is 0.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HIL LTD. (HIL)?
Earnings per share at HIL LTD. are ₹−43.70. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of HIL LTD. (HIL)?
The dividend yield of HIL LTD. is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of HIL LTD. (HIL)?
The net margin of HIL LTD. is 3.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HIL LTD. (HIL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HIL LTD. is −2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HIL LTD. (HIL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HIL LTD. is −0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HIL LTD. (HIL)?
The operating margin of HIL LTD. is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HIL LTD. (HIL)?
Revenue at HIL LTD. is growing +9.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at HIL LTD. (HIL)?
Earnings per share at HIL LTD. are growing −78.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does HIL LTD. (HIL) generate?
The free cash flow of HIL LTD. is −₹414M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does HIL LTD. (HIL) carry?
The net debt of HIL LTD. is ₹6.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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