HIL LTD. (HIL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹13.9B
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 91% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹182.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹1,205 – ₹6,227 · fair‑value band ₹109.65 – ₹182.75 · the ₹1,557 price screens above the ₹146.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
HIL LTD. (HIL) currently trades at ₹1,557, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹146.20, implying the stock looks roughly 90.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, HIL LTD. generated revenue of ₹36.2B at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue grew 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.7%. Net debt stands at ₹6.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹109.65 (bear case) to ₹182.75 (bull case); at ₹1,557, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -57% fair-value upside, at -91%, HIL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (₹362.91) versus Economic Profit (₹54.28). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HIL Limited produces and distributes building materials and other solutions in India and internationally. It operates through Roofing Solutions, Building Solutions, Polymer Solutions, Flooring Solutions, and Others segments.
Full company description
HIL Limited produces and distributes building materials and other solutions in India and internationally. It operates through Roofing Solutions, Building Solutions, Polymer Solutions, Flooring Solutions, and Others segments. The Roofing Solutions segment provides fiber cement sheets, colored steel sheets, cement based non-asbestos corrugated sheets, plaster, ready mix primers, block joining mortars, and tile adhesives under the Charminar and Charminar Fortune brands. Its Building Solutions segment offers wet walling and dry walling solutions, including autoclaved fly ash blocks, smart fix, smart bond, panels and boards; and aerocon panels and dry-mix under the Birla Aerocon brand. The Polymer Solutions segment offers UPVC, CPVC, column pipes, foamcore, pressure and UGD pipes, and fittings and water tanks under the Birla HIL Pipes brand; and wall putty under the Birla HIL Putty brand. Its Flooring Solutions segment provides laminate, engineered and resilient flooring, skirtings, and wall panel under the Parador brand. The Others segments generates electricity through wind power; and manufactures material handling, and processing plant and equipment. The company was formerly known as Hyderabad Industries Limited and changed its name to HIL Limited in July 2012. HIL Limited was incorporated in 1946 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HIL LTD. reported revenue of ₹1.6B in FY2025 versus ₹475M in FY2021, a compound +36.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹61.8M in FY2025.
HIL screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 250 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $480.20 | $208.50 | -57% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $152.79 | $44.75 | -71% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $63.08 | $16.85 | -73% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €84.24 | €97.97 | +16% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,405 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 38.91 | kr 25.37 | -35% |
| Rockwool A/S ROCKA | kr 232.00 | kr 232.55 | +0% |
| Beijing New Building Materials Public Limited 000786 | ¥18.73 | ¥31.73 | +69% |
| Moon Environment Technology Co 000811 | ¥42.22 | ¥11.94 | -72% |
| The Supreme Industries Limited SUPREMEIND | ₹3,460 | ₹1,376 | -60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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