Hill & Smith PLC (HILS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · GB · Market cap 2.3B GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from £17.90 to £17.95 (+0.3%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +9.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£22.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £7.86 – £29.95 · fair‑value band £13.46 – £22.43 · the £29.95 price screens above the £17.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Hill & Smith PLC (HILS) currently trades at £29.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £17.95, implying the stock looks roughly 40.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hill & Smith PLC generated revenue of £869M at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.4%. Net debt stands at £50.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £13.46 (bear case) to £22.43 (bull case); at £29.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -40%, HILS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£21.77) versus Asset-Based (£4.07). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hill & Smith PLC manufactures and supplies infrastructure products in the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, North America, the Middle East, the rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through US Engineered Solutions, UK & India Engineered Solutions, and Galvanizing Services segments.
Full company description
Hill & Smith PLC manufactures and supplies infrastructure products in the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, North America, the Middle East, the rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through US Engineered Solutions, UK & India Engineered Solutions, and Galvanizing Services segments. The US Engineered Solutions segment provides composite and steel solutions for infrastructure construction, such as energy transmission and distribution, data centres, waterfront protection, transportation, and other industrial facilities, engineered support for water, power, and liquid natural gas markets, seismic protection solutions for road work zone safety products, and off-grid solar lighting and power solutions. The UK & India Engineered Solutions segment offers hostile vehicle mitigation and off-grid solar lighting solutions for energy markets. The Galvanizing Services segment offers hot-dip galvanizing and powder coating services, increasing the sustainability and maintenance-free life of steel products, such as structural steelwork, lighting, bridges, and other products for infrastructure and construction end markets. It also offers fiber reinforced polymer composite solutions; electrical transmission and distribution substation structures; temporary and permanent road safety barriers, vehicle restraint systems, security solutions, bridge parapets, and retained earth systems; engineered pipe support and ancillary; lighting columns and traffic safety; vibration and seismic control; and hostile vehicle mitigation perimeter security; solar light towers, message signs, and other construction equipment; perimeter security solutions; galvanized lintels, construction fittings, composite doors, builders' metalwork, and plasterers' accessories; and open steel flooring, and handrailing. It was formerly known as Hill & Smith Holdings PLC and changed its name to Hill & Smith PLC in November 2022. The company was founded in 1824 and is based in Solihull, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hill & Smith PLC reported revenue of £869M in FY2025 versus £625M in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was £82.5M in FY2025, compounding +24.6%/yr from FY2021.
HILS screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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