H.I.S. Co (HIZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of H.I.S. Co stock €8.76, price €5.97, upside +46.7%, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?Yes
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €4.80 – €21.80 · fair‑value band €6.13 – €11.38 · the €5.97 price screens below the €8.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 27, 2026.
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H.I.S. Co., Ltd. is involved in the arrangement, planning, and sales of overseas and domestic travel, as well as related businesses in Japan, the United States, the rest of Asia, Oceania, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
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The company operates through three segments: Travel Business, Hotel Business, and Kyushu Sanko Group. It also operates hotels, as well as engages in automobile transportation and real estate rental.
In addition, the company owns and operates a theme park; provides non-life insurance services, focusing on overseas travel insurance; and develops and operates room reservation systems and related businesses.
Further, it engages in facility management; machinery installation and maintenance; and infrastructure projects, such as construction and construction of new buildings. The company was formerly known as International Tours Co., Ltd. and changed its name to H.I.S. Co., Ltd. in 1990.
H.I.S. Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
H.I.S. Co (HIZ) currently trades at €5.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.76, implying the stock looks roughly 31.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €24.09 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the €5.97 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €2.13, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €6.13 (bear) to €11.38 (bull), the price of €5.97 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
H.I.S. Co reported revenue of ¥373B in FY2025 versus ¥119B in FY2021, a compound +33.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.7B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €446M Small · P/E ratio 20.6 · P/S ratio 0.26 · EPS (TTM) €0.2900 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 19 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 47%, HIZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€6.13Fair Value €8.76Bull€11.38
Price €5.97 · Upside +46.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.2306 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−20.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−21.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−7% → 3%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.3% a year for the price and +3.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Travel Services · 90 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+46.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets1.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−0.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−1.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)1.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.94× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "H.I.S. Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HIZ
Frequently asked questions
Is H.I.S. Co (HIZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.76 versus a price of €5.97, about +47% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HIZ?
Our model-based fair value for H.I.S. Co is €8.76 (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.97.
What is the quality score of HIZ?
H.I.S. Co has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €8.76 (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €6.13, optimistic scenario €11.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the H.I.S. Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €8.76, about +47% upside versus a price of €5.97 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €6.13, optimistic scenario €11.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
H.I.S. Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥386B (latest available figure, as of Oct 27, 2026).
Does H.I.S. Co pay a dividend?
H.I.S. Co currently shows a dividend yield of 0.95% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, H.I.S. Co would have to grow free cash flow by -4.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.8 % per year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HIZ use?
Our models discount H.I.S. Co at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For H.I.S. Co that is -4.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has H.I.S. Co (HIZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at H.I.S. Co grew -2.8 % a year. The price currently implies -4.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of H.I.S. Co (HIZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into H.I.S. Co (-4.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.90 %: that much free cash flow H.I.S. Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For H.I.S. Co it is €8.76 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of €5.97. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is H.I.S. Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, HIZ trades below its calculated fair value: price €5.97, fair value €8.76, a gap of about +47% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HIZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€8.76). For H.I.S. Co the two are €2.79 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is H.I.S. Co worth?
The market values H.I.S. Co at about €446M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is €5.97; our models calculate a fair value of €8.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HIZ?
Our models span a range for H.I.S. Co: cautious scenario €6.13, base €8.76, optimistic €11.38 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price €5.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HIZ?
H.I.S. Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.6 (as of Oct 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €8.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 0.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for H.I.S. Co (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity −1.4%, debt of 0.94 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HIZ from its 52-week high?
H.I.S. Co trades at €5.97, about 18% below its 52-week high of €7.29 and 24% above the low of €4.82 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €8.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to H.I.S. Co?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Booking Holdings, Airbnb, Inc, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd, Viking Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is H.I.S. Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price €5.97, calculated fair value €8.76 (+47%), Quality Score 54/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HIZ calculated?
We run H.I.S. Co through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €8.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. H.I.S. Co currently trades 32 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was €5.97. Our model-based fair value is €8.76, about +47% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with H.I.S. Co right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€6.13). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€6.13 to €11.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of H.I.S. Co
How large is the market capitalisation of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
The market capitalisation of H.I.S. Co is €446M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of H.I.S. Co is 0.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
Earnings per share at H.I.S. Co are €0.2900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
The dividend yield of H.I.S. Co is 1.0% (payout 19.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
The net margin of H.I.S. Co is −0.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of H.I.S. Co is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of H.I.S. Co is −4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
The operating margin of H.I.S. Co is −1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
Revenue at H.I.S. Co is growing +1.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +37.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at H.I.S. Co (HIZ)?
Earnings per share at H.I.S. Co are growing +3.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does H.I.S. Co (HIZ) carry?
The net debt of H.I.S. Co is ¥52.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Oct 27, 2026