The Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels, Limited (HKSHY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +1.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $12.01 – $17.75 · fair‑value band $6.68 – $12.40 · the $13.60 price screens above the $9.54 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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The Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels, Limited (HKSHY) currently trades at $13.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.54, implying the stock looks roughly 29.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels, Limited generated revenue of $8.0B at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue declined 17.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Net debt stands at $15.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.68 (bear case) to $12.40 (bull case); at $13.60, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -30%, HKSHY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
The Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels, Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the ownership, development, and management of luxury hotels and commercial and residential properties in China, Europe, the United States, and the rest of Asia. The company operates through Hotels, Commercial Properties, and Peak Tram, Retail and Others segments. It is involved in operating hotels; leasing of commercial retail arcades and office premises located within the hotel buildings; development, leasing, and sale of luxury residential apartments; and operating food and beverage outlets. The company also engages in operating Peak Tram and The Quail; wholesaling and retailing of food and beverage products; and golf club, resort, and property investment. In addition, it offers laundry and dry-cleaning services; and management and consultancy services for clubs. The company was formerly known as The Hongkong Hotel Company, Limited. The Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels, Limited was incorporated in …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels, Limited reported revenue of $8.0B in FY2025 versus $3.5B in FY2021, a compound +23.2%/yr. Reported net income was $319M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $392.51 | $99.13 | -75% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $342.93 | $123.66 | -64% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $171.02 | $76.89 | -55% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $196.33 | $106.17 | -46% |
| Accor SA ACRFF | $57.35 | $44.53 | -22% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.66 | $47.39 | +11% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹657.60 | ₹281.13 | -57% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $84.65 | $23.92 | -72% |
| Whitbread plc WTBDY | $8.28 | $6.71 | -19% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 115,000 KRW | 28,940 KRW | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.