Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. TRY 3.59, price TRY 10.89, upside -67.0%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
49‑month range 4.02 TRY – 37.15 TRY · fair‑value band 3.21 TRY – 3.88 TRY · the 10.89 TRY price screens above the 3.59 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. provides engineering services in Turkey.
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Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. provides engineering services in Turkey. It offers a range of services on robotics systems comprising system design and manufacture of the elements forming the systems, such as reducers, parts processing and cutting solutions, special solutions, palletizing, bonding lines, and food and transportation packaging applications. The company also provides automation products, including MFDC resistance welding applications, PLC automation systems, servo motor drive system and maintenance solutions, pneumatic products, resistance welding systems, screwing and tightening systems, sensors, and radio frequency identification and fieldbus solutions; and mechanical products, which include silicone dosing systems, lubrication systems, power transmission systems, safety lock systems, assembly systems, and linear motion systems. In addition, it offers assembly lines, linear modules, mega cartesian robots, electrical cylinders, and solutions for motion control applications; hydraulic systems, automation panels, servo variable displacement pump drive systems, hydraulic cylinders, valve control blocks, hydraulic power units, hydromechanics systems department, test systems, filtration and circulation groups, battery - nitrogen stands, load platforms, MFDC resistance welding, and special hydraulic presses, as well as offers special solutions. Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was founded in 1985 and is based in Gebze, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM) currently trades at 10.89 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.59 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 203.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 13.89 TRY per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the 10.89 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 5.43 TRY, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 3.21 TRY (bear) to 3.88 TRY (bull), the price of 10.89 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 794M TRY in FY2025 versus 182M TRY in FY2021, a compound +44.6%/yr. Reported net income was −118M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.1B TRY (≈ $23.4M) · P/S ratio 1.40 · EPS (TTM) −1.31 TRY · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −14.9% · Return on equity −14.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% · Operating margin −1.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −67%, HKTM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 3.21 TRYFair Value 3.59 TRYBull 3.88 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.9% (2020) → 11.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−12% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.15× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.03× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.3× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)92· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HKTM
Frequently asked questions
Is Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.59 TRY versus a price of 10.89 TRY, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HKTM?
Our model-based fair value for Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 3.59 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 10.89 TRY.
What is the quality score of HKTM?
Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.59 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.21 TRY, optimistic scenario 3.88 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.59 TRY, about −67% upside versus a price of 10.89 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.21 TRY, optimistic scenario 3.88 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 833M TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. pay a dividend?
Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. it is 3.59 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 10.89 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, HKTM trades above its calculated fair value: price 10.89 TRY, fair value 3.59 TRY, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HKTM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (10.89 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.59 TRY). For Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. the two are 7.30 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at about 1.1B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 10.89 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 3.59 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HKTM?
Our models span a range for Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 3.21 TRY, base 3.59 TRY, optimistic 3.88 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 10.89 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −14.2%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HKTM from its 52-week high?
Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at 10.89 TRY, about 37% below its 52-week high of 17.22 TRY and 6% above the low of 10.25 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.59 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 10.89 TRY, calculated fair value 3.59 TRY (−67%), Quality Score 25/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HKTM calculated?
We run Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.59 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 10.89 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 3.59 TRY, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.88 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
The market capitalisation of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 1.1B TRY (≈ $23.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 1.40 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
Earnings per share at Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are −1.31 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
The dividend yield of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
The net margin of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −14.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −14.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
The operating margin of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
Revenue at Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is growing +21.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM)?
Earnings per share at Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are growing −73.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM) generate?
The free cash flow of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −202M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (HKTM) carry?
The net debt of Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 352M TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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