HKTM Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TR · Market cap 1.2B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +6.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (7.64 TRY to 14.97 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range 4.02 TRY – 37.15 TRY · fair‑value band 7.64 TRY – 14.97 TRY · the 11.09 TRY price screens below the 11.31 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
HKTM (HKTM) currently trades at 11.09 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.31 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 2.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, HKTM generated revenue of 833M TRY at a net margin of -16.5%. Revenue grew 21.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.2%. Net debt stands at 352M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.64 TRY (bear case) to 14.97 TRY (bull case); at 11.09 TRY, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 2%, HKTM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (14.75 TRY) versus Earnings-Based (5.43 TRY). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. provides engineering services in Turkey. It offers a range of services on robotics systems comprising system design and manufacture of the elements forming the systems, such as reducers, parts processing and cutting solutions, special solutions, palletizing, bonding lines, and food and …
Full company description
Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. provides engineering services in Turkey. It offers a range of services on robotics systems comprising system design and manufacture of the elements forming the systems, such as reducers, parts processing and cutting solutions, special solutions, palletizing, bonding lines, and food and transportation packaging applications. The company also provides automation products, including MFDC resistance welding applications, PLC automation systems, servo motor drive system and maintenance solutions, pneumatic products, resistance welding systems, screwing and tightening systems, sensors, and radio frequency identification and fieldbus solutions; and mechanical products, which include silicone dosing systems, lubrication systems, power transmission systems, safety lock systems, assembly systems, and linear motion systems. In addition, it offers assembly lines, linear modules, mega cartesian robots, electrical cylinders, and solutions for motion control applications; hydraulic systems, automation panels, servo variable displacement pump drive systems, hydraulic cylinders, valve control blocks, hydraulic power units, hydromechanics systems department, test systems, filtration and circulation groups, battery - nitrogen stands, load platforms, MFDC resistance welding, and special hydraulic presses, as well as offers special solutions. Hidropar Hareket Kontrol Teknolojileri Merkezi Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was founded in 1985 and is based in Gebze, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HKTM reported revenue of 794M TRY in FY2025 versus 182M TRY in FY2021, a compound +44.6%/yr. Reported net income was −118M TRY in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 810 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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