Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Hindustan Foods Limited ₹91.84, price ₹570, upside -83.9%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range ₹446.10 – ₹720.95 · fair‑value band ₹81.92 – ₹116.27 · the ₹570.05 price screens above the ₹91.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Hindustan Foods Limited engages in the business of contract manufacturing of fast moving consumer goods in India and internationally.
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Hindustan Foods Limited engages in the business of contract manufacturing of fast moving consumer goods in India and internationally. The company offers breakfast cereals, instant porridges, rice crispies, soups and soup powders, spices and masala, sauces, dips, pastes, jams, jellies, preserves, gravies, cookies, protein and granola bars, chikkis, and muesli; and hot and cold beverages, and energy drink concentrates comprising carbonated soft drinks, ice cream, dessert, tea, coffee, malt-based food, glucose powder, and dry mix powder. It also provides hair oil, food, gel, cream, and shampoo; talc, shaving cream, hand wash liquid and powder, Eau De Toilette, and after shave lotion; baby care products; body lotion, moisturizer, creams, petroleum jelly, shower gel, face wash and scrub, body scrub and wipes, and dusting powder; and beauty and make-up products, including lipstick, lip colour, lip crayon, lip paint, chap stick, pressed/compact powders, and eye make-up products. In addition, the company offers leather and sports footwear and accessories that consists of men's, women's, and juniors' footwear, as well as slippers and flip-flops, and uppers; fabric care products, including liquid and powder detergent, and fabric conditioners; home care products, such as surface, glass, and toilet cleaners, as well as liquid dish wash; pet food and hygiene products; and liquid vaporizers, aerosols, coils, mosquito mats, and activ cards. Further, it provides vitamins, minerals, and nutraceuticals; nutrition products comprising super, plant-based, and organic foods; allopathic, herbal, and ayurvedic cosmeceutical and skin care products; foot care products, such as medicated and non-medicated plaster; medicated lozenges; digestive remedies; gels and ointments; oral liquids; allopathic tablets; diabetic and high protein nutrition products; and dusting and cosmetic powder. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS) currently trades at ₹570.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹91.84, 83.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹429.98 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the ₹570.05 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹64.35, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹81.92 (bear) to ₹116.27 (bull), the price of ₹570.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hindustan Foods Limited reported revenue of ₹42.5B in FY2026 versus ₹20.4B in FY2022, a compound +20.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.5B in FY2026, compounding +35.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹68.8B (≈ $715M) · P/E ratio 43.3 · P/S ratio 1.52 · EPS (TTM) ₹13.16 · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 14.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4% · Operating margin 6.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −84%, HNDFDS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹81.92Fair Value ₹91.84Bull ₹116.27
Price ₹570.05 · Upside -83.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹6.81 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +67.9% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+52.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +28.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.30.1% vs 35.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 50% above its own trend.
Compare Hindustan Foods Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 363 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−83.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.62× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)43.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.91× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.55× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA19.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 40
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 26
PAST (return on equity)58· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)69· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹91.84 versus a price of ₹570.05, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HNDFDS?
Our model-based fair value for Hindustan Foods Limited is ₹91.84 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹570.05.
What is the quality score of HNDFDS?
Hindustan Foods Limited has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹91.84 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹81.92, optimistic scenario ₹116.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hindustan Foods Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹91.84, about −84% upside versus a price of ₹570.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹81.92, optimistic scenario ₹116.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
Hindustan Foods Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹44.3B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hindustan Foods Limited it is ₹91.84 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹570.05. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hindustan Foods Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, HNDFDS trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹570.05, fair value ₹91.84, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HNDFDS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹570.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹91.84). For Hindustan Foods Limited the two are ₹478.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hindustan Foods Limited worth?
The market values Hindustan Foods Limited at about ₹68.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹570.05; our models calculate a fair value of ₹91.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HNDFDS?
Our models span a range for Hindustan Foods Limited: cautious scenario ₹81.92, base ₹91.84, optimistic ₹116.27 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹570.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HNDFDS?
Hindustan Foods Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 43.3 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹91.84 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.9, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 19.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hindustan Foods Limited (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 14.5%, debt of 0.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HNDFDS from its 52-week high?
Hindustan Foods Limited trades at ₹570.05, about 13% below its 52-week high of ₹658.20 and 28% above the low of ₹446.10 (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹91.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hindustan Foods Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hindustan Foods Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹570.05, calculated fair value ₹91.84 (−84%), Quality Score 33/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HNDFDS calculated?
We run Hindustan Foods Limited through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹91.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hindustan Foods Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was ₹570.05. Our model-based fair value is ₹91.84, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hindustan Foods Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹116.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS) come from?
Earnings per share at Hindustan Foods Limited grew +39.4 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +48.5 %, EBIT margin −2.9 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hindustan Foods Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
The market capitalisation of Hindustan Foods Limited is ₹68.8B (≈ $715M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hindustan Foods Limited is 1.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
Earnings per share at Hindustan Foods Limited are ₹13.16 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 43.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
The net margin of Hindustan Foods Limited is 3.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hindustan Foods Limited is 14.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hindustan Foods Limited is 11.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
The operating margin of Hindustan Foods Limited is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
Revenue at Hindustan Foods Limited is growing +20.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
Earnings per share at Hindustan Foods Limited are growing +31.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS) generate?
The free cash flow of Hindustan Foods Limited is −₹3.1B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS) carry?
The net debt of Hindustan Foods Limited is ₹10.4B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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