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Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹67.7B

HF Hindustan Foods Limited HNDFDS · NSE
Price₹644.80
Fair Value₹258.30
Upside-59.9%
Quality33/100
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Risks

!Trades 60% ABOVE our fair value of ₹258.30
!Mixed Growth
!Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹193.72 – ₹322.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹209.10 to ₹258.30 (+23.5%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +14.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹322.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

₹720.95 ₹446.10 Fair Value ₹258.30 Nov 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

45‑month range ₹446.10 – ₹720.95 · fair‑value band ₹193.72 – ₹322.87 · the ₹644.80 price screens above the ₹258.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS) currently trades at ₹644.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹258.30, implying the stock looks roughly 59.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hindustan Foods Limited generated revenue of ₹42.5B at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 19.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. Net debt stands at ₹10.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹193.72 (bear case) to ₹322.87 (bull case); at ₹644.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -60%, HNDFDS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple ₹193.72 ₹258.30 ₹322.87 63
Residual Income ₹90.91 ₹111.66 ₹264.75 61
P/B Multiple ₹156.82 ₹209.10 ₹261.37 55
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹83.64 ₹583.29 ₹818.56 54
Lynch FV ₹301.35 ₹430.50 ₹559.65 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹193.72 ₹258.30 ₹322.87 63
P/B Multiple ₹156.82 ₹209.10 ₹261.37 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹48.08 ₹64.43 ₹96.16 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹90.91 ₹111.66 ₹264.75 61

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (₹430.50) versus Asset-Based (₹64.43). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹42.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.6%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 14.5%
Free cash flow −₹3.1B FY2026
P/E ratio 52.3
More key figures
Operating margin 6.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹12.34
EPS growth (YoY) +30.9%
Net debt ₹10.4B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 22
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 46
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hindustan Foods Limited engages in the business of contract manufacturing of fast moving consumer goods in India and internationally.

Full company description

Hindustan Foods Limited engages in the business of contract manufacturing of fast moving consumer goods in India and internationally. The company offers breakfast cereals, instant porridges, rice crispies, soups and soup powders, spices and masala, sauces, dips, pastes, jams, jellies, preserves, gravies, cookies, protein and granola bars, chikkis, and muesli; and hot and cold beverages, and energy drink concentrates comprising carbonated soft drinks, ice cream, dessert, tea, coffee, malt-based food, glucose powder, and dry mix powder. It also provides hair oil, food, gel, cream, and shampoo; talc, shaving cream, hand wash liquid and powder, Eau De Toilette, and after shave lotion; baby care products; body lotion, moisturizer, creams, petroleum jelly, shower gel, face wash and scrub, body scrub and wipes, and dusting powder; and beauty and make-up products, including lipstick, lip colour, lip crayon, lip paint, chap stick, pressed/compact powders, and eye make-up products. In addition, the company offers leather and sports footwear and accessories that consists of men's, women's, and juniors' footwear, as well as slippers and flip-flops, and uppers; fabric care products, including liquid and powder detergent, and fabric conditioners; home care products, such as surface, glass, and toilet cleaners, as well as liquid dish wash; pet food and hygiene products; and liquid vaporizers, aerosols, coils, mosquito mats, and activ cards. Further, it provides vitamins, minerals, and nutraceuticals; nutrition products comprising super, plant-based, and organic foods; allopathic, herbal, and ayurvedic cosmeceutical and skin care products; foot care products, such as medicated and non-medicated plaster; medicated lozenges; digestive remedies; gels and ointments; oral liquids; allopathic tablets; diabetic and high protein nutrition products; and dusting and cosmetic powder. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Hindustan Foods Limited reported revenue of ₹42.5B in FY2026 versus ₹20.4B in FY2022, a compound +20.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.5B in FY2026, compounding +35.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹42.5B
Latest YoY
+19.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.8%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+52.3%
Revenue +20.2%/yr
FY22 ₹20.4B
FY23 ₹25.9B
FY24 ₹27.5B
FY25 ₹35.6B
FY26 ₹42.5B
Net income +35.2%/yr
FY22 ₹447M
FY23 ₹711M
FY24 ₹930M
FY25 ₹1.1B
FY26 ₹1.5B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +39.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +48.5 pp

of which total revenue +71.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −23.3 pp

EBIT margin −2.9 pp
Tax rate +1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −7.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

HNDFDS screens 60% overvalued. Compare with ITOCHU Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hindustan Foods Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HNDFDS

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 388 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.62× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 52.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.59× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 20.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 31
FUTURE98 · sector 16
PAST58 · sector 18
HEALTH69 · sector 88
DIVIDEND0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ITOCHU Corporation ITOCHU19 7.20 THB 14.40 THB +100%
SK Inc 034730 553,000 KRW 615,077 KRW +11%
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII 4,790 IDR 9,580 IDR +100%
SRF Limited SRF ₹2,585 ₹859.71 -67%
Empresas Copec S.A COPEC 6,011 CLP 10,959 CLP +82%
Posco International Corporation 047050 54,300 KRW 71,119 KRW +31%
Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA ₹2,741 ₹723.80 -74%
Doosan Corporation 000155 436,000 KRW 93,413 KRW -79%
Thermax Limited THERMAX ₹4,002 ₹1,343 -66%
Hanwha Corporation 000880 96,000 KRW 88,608 KRW -8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹258.30 versus a price of ₹644.80, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HNDFDS?
Our model-based fair value for Hindustan Foods Limited is ₹258.30 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹644.80.
What is the quality score of HNDFDS?
Hindustan Foods Limited has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hindustan Foods Limited (HNDFDS)?
Hindustan Foods Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹42.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HNDFDS?
The net profit margin of Hindustan Foods Limited is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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