Hongkong Land Holdings (HNGKY) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $15.0B
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026, revised from $22.53 to $7.55 (−66.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $28.68 – $44.80 · fair‑value band $7.55 – $11.53 · the $38.93 price screens above the $7.55 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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Hongkong Land Holdings (HNGKY) currently trades at $38.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.55, implying the stock looks roughly 80.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hongkong Land Holdings generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of 87.2%. Revenue declined 32.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. Net debt stands at $3.6B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.55 (bear case) to $11.53 (bull case); at $38.93, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 85% fair-value upside, at -81%, HNGKY screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Hongkong Land Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, development, and management of properties in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, Southeast Asia, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Prime Properties Investment and Build-to-Sell. The company owns and manages mixed-use real estate, including offices, luxury retail, residential, and hospitality products in Hong Kong, Singapore, and Shanghai. It is also involved in hotel investment, finance, and project management businesses. The company was founded in 1889 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda. Hongkong Land Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Jardine Strategic Limited.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hongkong Land Holdings reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $2.4B in FY2021, a compound −11.1%/yr. Reported net income was $1.3B in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 146,800 VND | 367,000 VND | +150% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹577.70 | ₹263.02 | -54% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹862.00 | ₹721.45 | -16% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,325 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -79% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,633 | ₹1,368 | -16% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹1,799 | ₹1,034 | -43% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 2,000 IDR | +85% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 565.00 IDR | 1,334 IDR | +136% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 160.00 IDR | +150% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 550.00 IDR | 1,375 IDR | +150% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.