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Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Il · Market cap 406M ILA

HA Hod Assaf Industries Ltd HOD · TA
Price33.02 ILA
Fair Value41.46 ILA
Upside+25.6%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Medium Range 31.10 ILA – 42.39 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −1.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 26% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 31.10 ILA (bear) to 42.39 ILA (bull), base 41.46 ILA. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

66.24 ILA 21.71 ILA Fair Value 41.46 ILA Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 21.71 ILA – 66.24 ILA · fair‑value band 31.10 ILA – 42.39 ILA · the 33.02 ILA price screens below the 41.46 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD) currently trades at 33.02 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 41.46 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 25.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hod Assaf Industries Ltd generated revenue of 1.8B ILA at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue declined 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at 356M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 31.10 ILA (bear case) to 42.39 ILA (bull case); at 33.02 ILA, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 26%, HOD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 43.95 ILA 42.61 ILA 35.42 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 33.36 ILA 37.82 ILA 41.53 ILA 72
Gordon GGM 7.90 ILA 10.69 ILA 13.25 ILA 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 8.44 ILA 10.82 ILA 13.93 ILA 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 16.59 ILA 33.29 ILA 41.85 ILA 54
EPV 33.36 ILA 37.82 ILA 41.53 ILA 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 7.90 ILA 10.69 ILA 13.25 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 7.90 ILA 10.52 ILA 13.19 ILA 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 31.10 ILA 41.46 ILA 51.83 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 31.10 ILA 41.46 ILA 51.83 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 31.10 ILA 41.46 ILA 51.83 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 50.30 ILA 66.85 ILA 83.39 ILA 53
EV/EBITDA 67.40 ILA 89.64 ILA 111.88 ILA 54
EV/Revenue 43.69 ILA 62.12 ILA 80.55 ILA 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 31.39 ILA 42.06 ILA 62.77 ILA 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 43.95 ILA 42.61 ILA 35.42 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 33.36 ILA 37.82 ILA 41.53 ILA 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 22.82 ILA 32.61 ILA 42.39 ILA 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (42.06 ILA) versus Dividend Discount (10.52 ILA). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.8B ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) -20.0%
Net margin 1.1%
Return on equity 2.5%
Free cash flow −63.1M ILA FY2025
P/E ratio 22.0
More key figures
Operating margin 4.6%
EPS (TTM) 1.50 ILA
EPS growth (YoY) -53.4%
Net debt 356M ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hod Assaf Industries Ltd. engages in the production, processing, and sale of steel products in Israel and Romania. The company offers raw building iron, including rods and cylinders; welded meshes, piles, and elements; fencing nets; wrought irons; and skeletons, dimensions, artistry, and carpets. It also provides engineering solutions.

Full company description

Hod Assaf Industries Ltd. engages in the production, processing, and sale of steel products in Israel and Romania. The company offers raw building iron, including rods and cylinders; welded meshes, piles, and elements; fencing nets; wrought irons; and skeletons, dimensions, artistry, and carpets. It also provides engineering solutions. Its products are used in construction, infrastructure, security, and industrial sectors and industries. The company was incorporated in 1947 and is based in Acre, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hod Assaf Industries Ltd reported revenue of 1.9B ILA in FY2025 versus 1.7B ILA in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was 30.0M ILA in FY2025, compounding −29.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.9B ILS
Latest YoY
−9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Revenue +1.6%/yr
FY21 1.7B ILA
FY22 2.0B ILA
FY23 1.8B ILA
FY24 2.1B ILA
FY25 1.9B ILA
Net income −29.7%/yr
FY21 123M ILA
FY22 43.8M ILA
FY23 27.0M ILA
FY24 69.1M ILA
FY25 30.0M ILA
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +15.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.9 pp

of which total revenue +6.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +10.0 pp
Tax rate −3.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hod Assaf Industries Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HOD

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +26% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.17× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 67 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 10 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 41.46 ILA versus a price of 33.02 ILA, about +26% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HOD?
Our model-based fair value for Hod Assaf Industries Ltd is 41.46 ILA (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 33.02 ILA.
What is the quality score of HOD?
Hod Assaf Industries Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
Hod Assaf Industries Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HOD?
The net profit margin of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd is about 1.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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