Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd ILS 32.61, price ILS 32.85, upside -0.7%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 24.25 ILA – 65.22 ILA · fair‑value band 26.10 ILA – 42.39 ILA · the 32.85 ILA price screens above the 32.61 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Hod Assaf Industries Ltd. engages in the production, processing, and sale of steel products in Israel and Romania. The company offers raw building iron, including rods and cylinders; welded meshes, piles, and elements; fencing nets; wrought irons; and skeletons, dimensions, artistry, and carpets. It also provides engineering solutions.
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Hod Assaf Industries Ltd. engages in the production, processing, and sale of steel products in Israel and Romania. The company offers raw building iron, including rods and cylinders; welded meshes, piles, and elements; fencing nets; wrought irons; and skeletons, dimensions, artistry, and carpets. It also provides engineering solutions. Its products are used in construction, infrastructure, security, and industrial sectors and industries. The company was incorporated in 1947 and is based in Acre, Israel.
Stock analysis
Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD) currently trades at 32.85 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 32.61 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 0.7% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 42.06 ILA per share, and 11 of the 13 models we run sit above the 32.85 ILA price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 23.63 ILA, and 2 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 26.10 ILA (bear) to 42.39 ILA (bull), the price of 32.85 ILA sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hod Assaf Industries Ltd reported revenue of 1.9B ILS in FY2025 versus 1.7B ILS in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was 30.0M ILS in FY2025, compounding −29.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 404M ILA · P/E ratio 21.9 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) 1.50 ILA · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7% · Operating margin 4.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −1%, HOD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 26.10 ILAFair Value 32.61 ILABull 42.39 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.10 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.5% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15% vs 10%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%
Compare Hod Assaf Industries Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 411 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside+3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−20% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
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Is Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 32.61 ILA versus a price of 32.85 ILA, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HOD?
Our model-based fair value for Hod Assaf Industries Ltd is 32.61 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 32.85 ILA.
What is the quality score of HOD?
Hod Assaf Industries Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 32.61 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 26.10 ILA, optimistic scenario 42.39 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hod Assaf Industries Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 32.61 ILA, about −1% upside versus a price of 32.85 ILA (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 26.10 ILA, optimistic scenario 42.39 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
Hod Assaf Industries Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hod Assaf Industries Ltd it is 32.61 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 32.85 ILA. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hod Assaf Industries Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HOD trades above its calculated fair value: price 32.85 ILA, fair value 32.61 ILA, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HOD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (32.85 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (32.61 ILA). For Hod Assaf Industries Ltd the two are 0.2400 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hod Assaf Industries Ltd worth?
The market values Hod Assaf Industries Ltd at about 404M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 32.85 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 32.61 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HOD?
Our models span a range for Hod Assaf Industries Ltd: cautious scenario 26.10 ILA, base 32.61 ILA, optimistic 42.39 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 32.85 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HOD?
Hod Assaf Industries Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 32.61 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 1.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HOD from its 52-week high?
Hod Assaf Industries Ltd trades at 32.85 ILA, about 40% below its 52-week high of 54.50 ILA and 8% above the low of 30.52 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 32.61 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hod Assaf Industries Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hod Assaf Industries Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 32.85 ILA, calculated fair value 32.61 ILA (−1%), Quality Score 44/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HOD calculated?
We run Hod Assaf Industries Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 32.61 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hod Assaf Industries Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 32.85 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 32.61 ILA, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hod Assaf Industries Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD) come from?
Earnings per share at Hod Assaf Industries Ltd grew +15.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.9 %, EBIT margin +10.0 %, tax rate −3.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
The market capitalisation of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd is 404M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
Earnings per share at Hod Assaf Industries Ltd are 1.50 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
The net margin of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd is 1.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd is 7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
The operating margin of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
Revenue at Hod Assaf Industries Ltd is growing −20.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD)?
Earnings per share at Hod Assaf Industries Ltd are growing −53.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD) generate?
The free cash flow of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd is −63.1M ILA (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hod Assaf Industries Ltd (HOD) carry?
The net debt of Hod Assaf Industries Ltd is 356M ILA (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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