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HRKET Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TR · Market cap 11.2B TRY

H HRKET HRKET · IS
Price94.95 TRY
Fair Value32.18 TRY
Upside-66.1%
Quality32/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -21.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range 21.40 TRY – 42.95 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +1.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (42.95 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (21.40 TRY to 42.95 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

131.40 TRY 52.55 TRY Fair Value 32.18 TRY May 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

26‑month range 52.55 TRY – 131.40 TRY · fair‑value band 21.40 TRY – 42.95 TRY · the 94.95 TRY price screens above the 32.18 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

HRKET (HRKET) currently trades at 94.95 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 32.18 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 66.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, HRKET generated revenue of 6.5B TRY at a net margin of -21.3%. Revenue grew 50.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -20.8%. Net debt stands at 1.3B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 21.40 TRY (bear case) to 42.95 TRY (bull case); at 94.95 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -66%, HRKET screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 18.47 TRY 21.65 TRY 24.43 TRY 72
EPV 18.47 TRY 21.65 TRY 24.43 TRY 59
EV/EBITDA 115.42 TRY 154.09 TRY 192.77 TRY 54
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV 18.47 TRY 21.65 TRY 24.43 TRY 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT 33.62 TRY 45.03 TRY 56.45 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 115.42 TRY 154.09 TRY 192.77 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 22.46 TRY 32.35 TRY 42.24 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 28.93 TRY 38.77 TRY 57.86 TRY 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 18.47 TRY 21.65 TRY 24.43 TRY 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (45.03 TRY) versus Earnings-Based (21.65 TRY). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.5B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +50.4%
Net margin -21.3%
Return on equity -20.8%
Free cash flow −3.1B TRY FY2025
Operating margin 0.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -12.14 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) +154%
Net debt 1.3B TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hareket Proje Tasimaciligi Ve Yuk Muhendisligi Anonim Sirketi provides heavy lifting and transportation services with engineering solutions in Turkey, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. It offers load out services, equipment rental, and trnkey solutions for renewable energy solutions, as well as rigging engineering and transport survey consultancy.

Full company description

Hareket Proje Tasimaciligi Ve Yuk Muhendisligi Anonim Sirketi provides heavy lifting and transportation services with engineering solutions in Turkey, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. It offers load out services, equipment rental, and trnkey solutions for renewable energy solutions, as well as rigging engineering and transport survey consultancy. The company also provides project planning, route surveys, lift engineering, project management, and installation services. It serves petrochemical, construction, energy, shipyard, and power industries, as well as offshore projects. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HRKET reported revenue of 5.9B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.8B TRY in FY2021, a compound +35.7%/yr. Reported net income was −1.6B TRY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.9B TRY
Latest YoY
+28.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+52.7%
Revenue +35.7%/yr
FY21 1.8B TRY
FY22 1.7B TRY
FY23 2.3B TRY
FY24 4.6B TRY
FY25 5.9B TRY
Net income
FY21 385M TRY
FY22 276M TRY
FY23 1.5B TRY
FY24 −176M TRY
FY25 −1.6B TRY

HRKET screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HRKET Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HRKET

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -21% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 50% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 17
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HRKET overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 32.18 TRY versus a price of 94.95 TRY, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HRKET?
Our model-based fair value for HRKET is 32.18 TRY (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 94.95 TRY.
What is the quality score of HRKET?
HRKET has a Quality Score of 32/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HRKET?
HRKET reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.5B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HRKET?
The net profit margin of HRKET is about -21.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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