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Heartland Express, Inc (HTLD) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.1B

Price$14.59
Fair Value$14.48
Upside-0.8%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $10.40 – $18.57

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

Analysis

Heartland Express, Inc (HTLD) currently trades at $14.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.48 — implying the stock looks roughly 0.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Heartland Express, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides short, medium, and long-haul truckload carrier and transportation services in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. It primarily provides nationwide asset-based dry van truckload services for shippers; cross-border freight and other transportation services; and temperature-controlled truckload services. The company offers its services under the Heartland Express, Millis Transfer, Smith Transport, and CFI brand names. It primarily serves retailers, manufacturers, and parcel carriers in the consumer goods, appliances, food products, and automotive industries. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in North Liberty, Iowa.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Heartland Express, Inc (HTLD) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.48 versus a price of $14.59 — about −1% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HTLD?
Our 21-model fair value for Heartland Express, Inc is $14.48 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.59.
What is the quality score of HTLD?
Heartland Express, Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.