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HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of HT Media Limited ₹32.15, price ₹22.38, upside +43.6%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · IN · ISIN INE501G01024

HM Thin data Sep 27, 2026

HT Media Limited

HTMEDIA · NSE

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value ₹32.15 · Undervalued (+43.6%)
!Quality 30/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 8 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹38.10 ₹14.90 Fair Value ₹32.15 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹14.90 – ₹38.10 · fair‑value band ₹20.09 – ₹32.15 · the ₹22.38 price screens below the ₹32.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

HT Media Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the printing and publication of newspapers and periodicals in India. The company operates through three segments: Printing and Publication of Newspapers & Periodicals, Radio Broadcast & Entertainment, and Digital.

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HT Media Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the printing and publication of newspapers and periodicals in India. The company operates through three segments: Printing and Publication of Newspapers & Periodicals, Radio Broadcast & Entertainment, and Digital. It publishes Hindustan Times, an English daily newspaper; Mint, a business daily newspaper; and Hindustan, a Hindi daily newspaper. The company is also involved in the FM radio broadcast and other related activities through its radio stations operating under the Fever 104, Fever, Punjabi Fever, Radio One, and Radio Nasha brands. In addition, it operates Shine.com, a job portal; Shine Learning, a platform for upskilling; Hindustantimes.com, an English news website; Livemint.com, a business news website; Livehindustan.com, a Hindi news website; Desimartini.com, a movie reviews and ratings website; HT Smartcast, a podcast platform; Health Shots, a health and wellness platform for millennial women; VCCircle and TechCircle news platforms; VCCEdge, a market intelligence platform; Mint Lounge, a weekend magazine of Mint to guide on intelligent lifestyle; Slurrp, a platform for food recipes; and OTTplay, a content aggregation and discovery platform. Further, the company rents and invests in properties; engages in sale of third party newspaper and internet radio, trading and management consultancy services, and investment activities; undertakes commercial printing jobs; and provides solutions under HT One Audience, HT AdVentures, HT Classifieds, HT Brand Studio, and HT Syndication. The company was founded in 1924 and is based in New Delhi, India. HT Media Limited is a subsidiary of The Hindustan Times Limited.

Stock analysis

HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA) currently trades at ₹22.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹32.15, implying the stock looks roughly 30.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹46.91 per share, and 11 of the 13 models we run sit above the ₹22.38 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹16.99, and 2 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹20.09 (bear) to ₹32.15 (bull), the price of ₹22.38 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

HT Media Limited reported revenue of ₹18.0B in FY2026 versus ₹15.0B in FY2022, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was −₹767M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹7.3B (≈ $75.9M) · P/E ratio 47.6 · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.4700 · Net margin −4.3% · Return on equity 1.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.9% · Operating margin 12.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 44%, HTMEDIA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹20.09 Fair Value ₹32.15 Bull ₹32.15
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.2382 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹34.59 ₹42.33 ₹54.29 82
Growth DCF ₹35.17 ₹42.44 ₹52.88 80
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹42.51 ₹61.37 ₹85.32 75
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹34.59 ₹42.33 ₹54.29 82
5Y Revenue Exit ₹26.49 ₹33.98 ₹44.39 74
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹42.51 ₹61.37 ₹85.32 75
10Y Revenue Exit ₹29.68 ₹36.17 ₹43.27 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹38.50 ₹51.67 ₹66.68 69
Earnings-Based
EPV ₹15.41 ₹16.99 ₹18.28 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT ₹26.85 ₹35.06 ₹43.28 66
EV/EBITDA ₹56.77 ₹74.95 ₹93.14 67
EV/Revenue ₹20.89 ₹28.90 ₹36.91 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹35.01 ₹46.91 ₹70.01 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹35.17 ₹42.44 ₹52.88 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹26.49 ₹34.75 ₹45.02 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ₹15.41 ₹16.99 ₹18.28 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.1% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−20.5% (2021) → 2.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−23.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −26.5% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 102 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +43.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Return on assets 0.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −3.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −0.5% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 47.6× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.19× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)91 · sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)8 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 59

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The New York Times Company NYT $63.70 $42.10 −34%
Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 ¥21.12 ¥21.02 +0%
Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 ¥8.34 ¥9.14 +10%
China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 ¥10.27 ¥10.70 +4%
People.cn CO., LTD 603000 ¥16.51 ¥4.23 −74%
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 ¥22.11 ¥10.08 −54%
Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 ¥7.56 ¥7.45 −1%
John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY $47.76 $61.05 +28%
Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 ¥6.84 ¥11.60 +70%
TX Group TXGN CHF 167.40 CHF 43.33 −74%

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₹32.15 +30%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HT Media Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HTMEDIA

Frequently asked questions

Is HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹32.15 versus a price of ₹22.38, about +44% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HTMEDIA?
Our model-based fair value for HT Media Limited is ₹32.15 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹22.38.
What is the quality score of HTMEDIA?
HT Media Limited has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹32.15 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹20.09, optimistic scenario ₹32.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HT Media Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹32.15, about +44% upside versus a price of ₹22.38 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹20.09, optimistic scenario ₹32.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
HT Media Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹18.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, HT Media Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -23.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.1 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HTMEDIA use?
Our models discount HT Media Limited at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.21, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For HT Media Limited that is -23.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at HT Media Limited grew +10.1 % a year. The price currently implies -23.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into HT Media Limited (-23.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.18 %: that much free cash flow HT Media Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HT Media Limited it is ₹32.15 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹22.38. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HT Media Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, HTMEDIA trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹22.38, fair value ₹32.15, a gap of about +44% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HTMEDIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹22.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹32.15). For HT Media Limited the two are ₹9.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HT Media Limited worth?
The market values HT Media Limited at about ₹7.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹22.38; our models calculate a fair value of ₹32.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HTMEDIA?
Our models span a range for HT Media Limited: cautious scenario ₹20.09, base ₹32.15, optimistic ₹32.15 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹22.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HTMEDIA?
HT Media Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 47.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹32.15 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.2.
What is the PEG ratio of HTMEDIA?
The PEG ratio of HT Media Limited is 0.19 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for HT Media Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HTMEDIA from its 52-week high?
HT Media Limited trades at ₹22.38, about 22% below its 52-week high of ₹28.66 and 23% above the low of ₹18.14 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹32.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HT Media Limited?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China South Publishing & Media Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HT Media Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹22.38, calculated fair value ₹32.15 (+44%), Quality Score 30/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HTMEDIA calculated?
We run HT Media Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹32.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. HT Media Limited currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹22.38. Our model-based fair value is ₹32.15, about +44% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HT Media Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of HT Media Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
The market capitalisation of HT Media Limited is ₹7.3B (≈ $75.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HT Media Limited is 0.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
Earnings per share at HT Media Limited are ₹0.4700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 47.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
The net margin of HT Media Limited is −4.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HT Media Limited is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HT Media Limited is −2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
The operating margin of HT Media Limited is 12.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
Revenue at HT Media Limited is growing −0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA)?
Earnings per share at HT Media Limited are growing +34.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does HT Media Limited (HTMEDIA) carry?
The net debt of HT Media Limited is ₹7.2B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 15.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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