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Huadi International Group (HUDI) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $13.3M

HI Huadi International Group logo Huadi International Group HUDI · US
Price$0.8640
Fair Value$2.34
Upside+170.8%
Quality32/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -2.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.55 – $2.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $2.62 to $2.34 (−10.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +0.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 171% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.55). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.55 to $2.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$180.00 $0.6700 Fair Value $2.34 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6700 – $180.00 · fair‑value band $1.55 – $2.92 · the $0.8640 price screens below the $2.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Huadi International Group (HUDI) currently trades at $0.8640, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.34, implying the stock looks roughly 170.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Huadi International Group generated revenue of $62.9M at a net margin of -2.2%. Revenue declined 9.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. Net debt stands at $12.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.55 (bear case) to $2.92 (bull case); at $0.8640, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 171%, HUDI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $2.64 $3.54 $5.28 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.64 $3.54 $5.28 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $62.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.9%
Net margin -2.2%
Return on equity -1.8%
Free cash flow −$20.2M FY2025
Operating margin -7.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1000
EPS growth (YoY) -43.6%
Net debt $12.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 8

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huadi International Group Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells stainless steel seamless pipes, tubes, and bars in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Huadi International Group Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells stainless steel seamless pipes, tubes, and bars in the People's Republic of China. The company also supplies products that are used in thermal, nuclear power plants, automotive, oil and gas, agricultural and industrial equipment, chemical engineering, and electricity markets. It also exports its products to various countries, including the United States, Singapore, Mexico, Thailand, Australia, Argentina, Taiwan, India, the Philippines, the United Arab Emirates, Canada, and Germany. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Wenzhou, the People's Republic of China. Huadi International Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Yongqiang Donghai Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huadi International Group reported revenue of $62.9M in FY2025 versus $70.2M in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 2/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$62.9M
Latest YoY
−15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Revenue −2.7%/yr
FY21 $70.2M
FY22 $76.4M
FY23 $84.3M
FY24 $74.3M
FY25 $62.9M
Net income
FY21 $2.5M
FY22 $1.9M
FY23 $3.3M
FY24 $137K
FY25 −$1.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huadi International Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HUDI

Peer Group

Steel · 377 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +153% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.11× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.18× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huadi International Group (HUDI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.34 versus a price of $0.8640, about +171% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HUDI?
Our model-based fair value for Huadi International Group is $2.34 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.8640.
What is the quality score of HUDI?
Huadi International Group has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huadi International Group (HUDI)?
Huadi International Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $62.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HUDI?
The net profit margin of Huadi International Group is about -2.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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