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HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $98.4M

HE HWGG Entertainment Limited logo HWGG Entertainment Limited HWGG · US
Price$3.99
Fair Value$0.5500
Upside-86.2%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.4100 – $0.6800 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated today

A solid business, but screening 86% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$750.00 $0.3401 Fair Value $0.5500 Jan 2017 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.3401 – $750.00 · fair‑value band $0.4100 – $0.6800 · the $3.99 price screens above the $0.5500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG) currently trades at $3.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5500, implying the stock looks roughly 86.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $330K. Revenue grew 123.5% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4100 (bear case) to $0.6800 (bull case); at $3.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -86%, HWGG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.0800 to $1.07). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.6400 $1.03 $1.64 80
ROIC Compounder $0.2600 $0.2900 $0.3100 72
EPV $0.2600 $0.2900 $0.3100 59
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.6800 $0.9500 $1.75 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2800 $0.3600 $0.5200 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.5100 $0.8200 $1.43 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.4300 $0.6600 $0.7200 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.5700 $1.07 $1.89 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.2600 $0.2900 $0.3100 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.6300 $0.8500 $1.06 53
EV/EBITDA $0.4100 $0.5500 $0.6900 54
EV/Revenue $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.1000 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.6400 $1.03 $1.64 80
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.2600 $0.2900 $0.3100 72

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($1.03) versus Earnings-Based ($0.2900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $330K
Revenue growth (YoY) +124%
Free cash flow $1.4M FY2025
Operating margin -244%
EPS (TTM) $-0.0100
Net debt $75.2K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HWGG Entertainment Limited provides entertainment membership services, travel and tour packages, and marketing services primarily through mobile applications.

Full company description

HWGG Entertainment Limited provides entertainment membership services, travel and tour packages, and marketing services primarily through mobile applications. The company offers entertainment vouchers, and travel membership programs that grant users access to discounted vacation packages, room accommodations, flight arrangements, private experiences, and personalized itineraries. The company also provides marketing and promotional services, including advertising and event consultation, through its FatCat app; resorts and cruises; and develops and invests in real estate properties. The company was formerly known as Ho Wah Genting Group Limited and changed its name to HWGG Entertainment Limited in September 2020. HWGG Entertainment Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HWGG Entertainment Limited reported revenue of $1.6M in FY2025 versus $5.7K in FY2021, a compound +309.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$17.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.6M
Latest YoY
+37.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+567.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+206.8%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+63.4%
Revenue +309.9%/yr
FY21 $5.7K
FY22 $5.5K
FY23 $1.8M
FY24 $1.2M
FY25 $1.6M
Net income
FY21 −$3.2M
FY22 −$6.0M
FY23 $14.7M
FY24 $21.2M
FY25 −$17.3M

HWGG screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HWGG Entertainment Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HWGG

Peer Group

Travel Services · 93 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -24% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 124% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 69.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 22
FUTURE 100 · sector 28
PAST 0 · sector 33
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Booking Holdings BKNG $212.26 $152.94 -28%
Airbnb, Inc ABNB $180.10 $85.66 -52%
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL $307.15 $215.19 -30%
Viking Holdings VIK $104.19 $43.68 -58%
Carnival Corporation CCL $27.67 $31.36 +13%
Expedia Group EXPE $325.57 $248.63 -24%
Trip.com Group TCOM $45.58 $89.04 +95%
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH $18.92 $20.28 +7%
Global Business Travel Group GBTG $9.44 $5.04 -47%
Travel + Leisure Co TNL $74.68 $26.57 -64%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5500 versus a price of $3.99, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HWGG?
Our model-based fair value for HWGG Entertainment Limited is $0.5500 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.99.
What is the quality score of HWGG?
HWGG Entertainment Limited has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG)?
HWGG Entertainment Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $330K (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HWGG?
The net profit margin of HWGG Entertainment Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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