HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Aug 21, 2026: fair value of HWGG Entertainment Limited $0.81, price $3.99, upside -79.7%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3401 – $750.00 · fair‑value band $0.5000 – $1.41 · the $3.99 price screens above the $0.8100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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HWGG Entertainment Limited provides entertainment membership services, travel and tour packages, and marketing services primarily through mobile applications.
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HWGG Entertainment Limited provides entertainment membership services, travel and tour packages, and marketing services primarily through mobile applications. The company offers entertainment vouchers, and travel membership programs that grant users access to discounted vacation packages, room accommodations, flight arrangements, private experiences, and personalized itineraries. The company also provides marketing and promotional services, including advertising and event consultation, through its FatCat app; resorts and cruises; and develops and invests in real estate properties. The company was formerly known as Ho Wah Genting Group Limited and changed its name to HWGG Entertainment Limited in September 2020. HWGG Entertainment Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG) currently trades at $3.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8100, 79.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $1.03 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the $3.99 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.2900, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.5000 (bear) to $1.41 (bull), the price of $3.99 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
HWGG Entertainment Limited reported revenue of $1.6M in FY2025 versus $5.7K in FY2021, a compound +309.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$17.3M in FY2025.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 86% below its 52-week high and 565% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −80%, HWGG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.0800 to $1.07). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $0.5000Fair Value $0.8100Bull $1.41
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+37.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+567.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+206.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +46.8% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+63.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−45,263.5% (2020) → 71.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.9% a year for the price.
Compare HWGG Entertainment Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Travel Services · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−79.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−23.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth123.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/FCF69.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HWGG Entertainment Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HWGG
Frequently asked questions
Is HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8100 versus the last price from Aug 21, 2026 of $3.99, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HWGG?
Our model-based fair value for HWGG Entertainment Limited is $0.8100 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 21, 2026): $3.99.
What is the quality score of HWGG?
HWGG Entertainment Limited has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8100 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5000, optimistic scenario $1.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HWGG Entertainment Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8100, about −80% upside versus the last price from Aug 21, 2026 of $3.99 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.5000, optimistic scenario $1.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, HWGG Entertainment Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +29.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +206.8 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HWGG use?
Our models discount HWGG Entertainment Limited at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For HWGG Entertainment Limited that is +29.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at HWGG Entertainment Limited grew +206.8 % a year. The price currently implies +29.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into HWGG Entertainment Limited (+29.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.60 %: that much free cash flow HWGG Entertainment Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HWGG Entertainment Limited it is $0.8100 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $3.99. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HWGG Entertainment Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, HWGG trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.99, fair value $0.8100, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HWGG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.99); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8100). For HWGG Entertainment Limited the two are $3.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HWGG Entertainment Limited worth?
The market values HWGG Entertainment Limited at about $98.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $3.99; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HWGG?
Our models span a range for HWGG Entertainment Limited: cautious scenario $0.5000, base $0.8100, optimistic $1.41 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $3.99). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG)?
Balance-sheet figures for HWGG Entertainment Limited (as of Sep 28, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HWGG from its 52-week high?
HWGG Entertainment Limited trades at $3.99, about 86% below its 52-week high of $29.00 and 565% above the low of $0.6000 (as of Aug 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.8100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HWGG Entertainment Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Booking Holdings, Airbnb, Inc, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd, Viking Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HWGG Entertainment Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $3.99, calculated fair value $0.8100 (−80%), Quality Score 65/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HWGG calculated?
We run HWGG Entertainment Limited through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.8100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. HWGG Entertainment Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG)?
The latest price we hold is from Aug 21, 2026 and stands at $3.99. Our model-based fair value is $0.8100, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HWGG Entertainment Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($0.5000 to $1.41). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of HWGG Entertainment Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG)?
The market capitalisation of HWGG Entertainment Limited is $98.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG)?
Earnings per share at HWGG Entertainment Limited are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HWGG Entertainment Limited is 72.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG)?
The operating margin of HWGG Entertainment Limited is −244% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG)?
Revenue at HWGG Entertainment Limited is growing +124% versus a year earlier (3y avg +568%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does HWGG Entertainment Limited (HWGG) carry?
The net debt of HWGG Entertainment Limited is $75.2K (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 28, 2026