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Italian Exhibition Group (IEG) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · IT · Market cap €434M

IE Italian Exhibition Group IEG · MI
Price€16.70
Fair Value€20.80
Upside+24.6%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.39% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: Medium Range €15.60 – €26.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +12.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 25% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from €15.60 (bear) to €26.00 (bull), base €20.80. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€17.75 €1.69 Fair Value €20.80 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.69 – €17.75 · fair‑value band €15.60 – €26.00 · the €16.70 price screens below the €20.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Italian Exhibition Group (IEG) currently trades at €16.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €20.80, implying the stock looks roughly 24.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Italian Exhibition Group generated revenue of €268M at a net margin of 11.4%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.2%. Net debt stands at €31.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €15.60 (bear case) to €26.00 (bull case); at €16.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 126% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at 25%, IEG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €5.37 €7.13 €21.94 76
ROIC Compounder €13.84 €18.52 €24.39 72
Growth-Adj P/E €17.24 €24.62 €32.01 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €1.61 €3.57 €7.06 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €6.43 €41.21 €57.62 54
Lynch FV €11.94 €17.06 €22.17 50
PEG = 1.0 €11.94 €17.06 €22.17 46
EPV €11.74 €13.40 €14.79 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €15.60 €20.80 €26.00 63
P/S Multiple €12.05 €16.07 €20.09 58
P/B Multiple €12.05 €16.07 €20.09 55
EV/EBIT €19.86 €26.62 €33.38 53
EV/EBITDA €20.86 €27.96 €35.05 54
EV/Revenue €14.95 €21.55 €28.14 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.45 €3.28 €4.90 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €5.37 €7.13 €21.94 76
ROIC Compounder €13.84 €18.52 €24.39 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €17.24 €24.62 €32.01 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€24.62) versus Asset-Based (€3.28). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €268M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.1%
Net margin 11.4%
Return on equity 19.2%
Free cash flow −€3.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.2
More key figures
Operating margin 33.3%
EPS (TTM) €1.00
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.5%
Net debt €31.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 92

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 97
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Italian Exhibition Group S.p.A. organizes trade shows and conferences in Italy and internationally. It engages in the organization of trade fair events; reception of trade fairs and other events, such as planning, management, and provision of exhibition spaces; publishing; and sporting events.

Full company description

Italian Exhibition Group S.p.A. organizes trade shows and conferences in Italy and internationally. It engages in the organization of trade fair events; reception of trade fairs and other events, such as planning, management, and provision of exhibition spaces; publishing; and sporting events. The company also offers services related to trade fair and conference events, promotion, and management for congresses, conventions, exhibitions, cultural, entertainment, and leisure activities; catering, cleaning, and porterage services; and training courses. Italian Exhibition Group S.p.A. was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Rimini, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Italian Exhibition Group reported revenue of €266M in FY2025 versus €74.3M in FY2021, a compound +37.6%/yr. Reported net income was €28.9M in FY2025, compounding +104.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€266M
Latest YoY
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+19.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+27.3%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+13.6%
Revenue +37.6%/yr
FY21 €74.3M
FY22 €156M
FY23 €208M
FY24 €246M
FY25 €266M
Net income +104.9%/yr
FY21 €1.6M
FY22 €772K
FY23 €12.7M
FY24 €32.0M
FY25 €28.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Italian Exhibition Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IEG

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +25% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.41× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.35× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 66 · sector 19
FUTURE 11 · sector 8
PAST 77 · sector 7
HEALTH 80 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 28 · sector 66

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $506.98 $181.37 -64%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €87.16 €146.36 +68%
Omnicom Group OMC $80.75 $99.84 +24%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.00 ¥4.08 -18%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $19.37 $20.76 +7%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.81 ¥1.50 -89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €21.28 €20.99 -1%
WPP plc WPP $18.13 $18.56 +2%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥28.85 ¥5.62 -81%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.15 HK$6.43 -42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Italian Exhibition Group (IEG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €20.80 versus a price of €16.70, about +25% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IEG?
Our model-based fair value for Italian Exhibition Group is €20.80 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €16.70.
What is the quality score of IEG?
Italian Exhibition Group has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Italian Exhibition Group (IEG)?
Italian Exhibition Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €268M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IEG?
The net profit margin of Italian Exhibition Group is about 11.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Italian Exhibition Group pay a dividend?
Italian Exhibition Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.39% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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