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IFCI Limited (IFCI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹207B

IL IFCI Limited IFCI · NSE
Price₹78.93
Fair Value₹8.73
Upside-88.9%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹6.55 – ₹10.91 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated today

Share price +9.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹10.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹90.07 ₹8.35 Fair Value ₹8.73 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹8.35 – ₹90.07 · fair‑value band ₹6.55 – ₹10.91 · the ₹78.93 price screens above the ₹8.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

IFCI Limited (IFCI) currently trades at ₹78.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹8.73, implying the stock looks roughly 88.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Revenue declined 34.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹35.8B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 114.4. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹6.55 (bear case) to ₹10.91 (bull case); at ₹78.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -89%, IFCI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹78.96 ₹103.00 ₹148.53 80
Residual Income ₹23.93 ₹23.20 ₹18.93 76
Gordon GGM ₹5.31 ₹6.34 ₹7.53 70
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹20.81 ₹23.97 ₹30.50 31
5Y P/E Exit ₹39.26 ₹43.13 ₹48.32 38
10Y P/E Exit ₹52.45 ₹57.47 ₹61.93 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹4.56 ₹7.15 ₹8.58 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹5.31 ₹6.34 ₹7.53 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹5.31 ₹7.13 ₹9.53 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹6.55 ₹8.73 ₹10.91 63
P/B Multiple ₹8.56 ₹11.41 ₹14.27 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹16.60 ₹22.24 ₹33.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹78.96 ₹103.00 ₹148.53 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹23.93 ₹23.20 ₹18.93 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹103.00) versus Dividend Discount (₹6.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) −₹5.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) -34.6%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow ₹16.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 114.4
Operating margin 118%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹0.6900
EPS growth (YoY) +65.6%
Net cash ₹35.8B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 39
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 51
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

IFCI Limited provides non-banking financial services to the public sector in India. The company offers project finance for the power sector, telecommunications, roads, oil and gas, ports, airports, basic metals, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, electronics, textiles, real estate, smart cities, urban infrastructure, etc.

Full company description

IFCI Limited provides non-banking financial services to the public sector in India. The company offers project finance for the power sector, telecommunications, roads, oil and gas, ports, airports, basic metals, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, electronics, textiles, real estate, smart cities, urban infrastructure, etc. It also provides corporate finance, such as balance sheet funding, loan against shares, lease rental discounting, promoter funding, long-term working capital requirement, capital expenditure, and regular maintenance capex services, as well as short term loans, including bridge financing and short-term working capital to small, mid, and large corporates. In addition, the company offers syndication and advisory services, which include financial, ESG, and other project advisory for government and corporate sectors; structured debt/mezzanine products; and assistance in sponsor and acquisition financing, pre-IPO financing, off-balance sheet structured solutions, and others. Further, it provides sales and resolution services for non-performing assets; ESG services; real estate and infrastructure services; risk capital schemes; and post trading and custodial services, as well as acts as debenture trustee for debenture issues. Additionally, the company offers stock broking, depository participant services, merchant banking, insurance corporate agency, mutual fund products distribution, and corporate advisory services. Again, it provides financial support services for airports, roads, telecom, power, real estate, manufacturing, and services sectors, as well as other allied industries. The company was formerly known as Industrial Finance Corporation of India and changed its name to IFCI Limited in October 1999. IFCI Limited was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

IFCI Limited reported revenue of ₹21.3B in FY2026 versus ₹18.0B in FY2022, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.8B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹21.3B
Latest YoY
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.2%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY22 ₹18.0B
FY23 ₹16.2B
FY24 ₹20.2B
FY25 ₹19.6B
FY26 ₹21.3B
Net income
FY22 −₹18.3B
FY23 −₹2.1B
FY24 ₹1.0B
FY25 ₹1.7B
FY26 ₹1.8B

IFCI screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "IFCI Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IFCI

Peer Group

Credit Services · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 118% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -35% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.42× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 114.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 39
PAST 20 · sector 32
HEALTH 79 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $359.42 $198.27 -45%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $561.44 $221.87 -60%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,094 ₹397.61 -64%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,117 ₹553.83 -50%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,918 ₹796.52 -58%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹367.05 ₹149.40 -59%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹376.50 ₹615.85 +64%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹2,876 ₹3,429 +19%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.35 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹346.00 ₹692.00 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is IFCI Limited (IFCI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹8.73 versus a price of ₹78.93, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IFCI?
Our model-based fair value for IFCI Limited is ₹8.73 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹78.93.
What is the quality score of IFCI?
IFCI Limited has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of IFCI?
The net profit margin of IFCI Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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