Itafos Inc (IFOS) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$510M
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −8.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 142% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$3.67). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (C$3.67 to C$9.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.6507 – C$4.40 · fair‑value band C$3.67 – C$9.14 · the C$2.21 price screens below the C$5.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Itafos Inc (IFOS) currently trades at C$2.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$5.34, implying the stock looks roughly 141.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Itafos Inc generated revenue of C$564M at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.0%. Net debt stands at C$18.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$3.67 (bear case) to C$9.14 (bull case); at C$2.21, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 142%, IFOS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$9.05) versus Growth DCF (C$0.6200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Itafos Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells phosphate and specialty fertilizers in the United States, Brazil, and Guinea-Bissau. The company operates through three segments: Conda, Arrais, and Development and Exploration.
Full company description
Itafos Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells phosphate and specialty fertilizers in the United States, Brazil, and Guinea-Bissau. The company operates through three segments: Conda, Arrais, and Development and Exploration. It offers monoammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate with micronutrients, superphosphoric acid, merchant grade phosphoric acid, ammonium polyphosphate, and hydrofluorosilicic acid. The company also provides single superphosphate, single superphosphate with micronutrients, sulfuric acid, acidulated phosphate rock, and direct application phosphate rock. In addition, it is involved in the operation of high-grade phosphate mine and fertilizer plant projects. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Itafos Inc reported revenue of C$558M in FY2025 versus C$413M in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was C$116M in FY2025, compounding +22.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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