Ifishdeco PT (IFSH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Ifishdeco PT IDR 626, price IDR 1,010, upside -38.0%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 661.41 IDR – 3,194 IDR · fair‑value band 382.30 IDR – 797.13 IDR · the 1,010 IDR price screens above the 625.96 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Ifishdeco Tbk engages in the mining exploration, development, production, transportation, trading, and sales of nickel ores in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates through Nickel Mining and Processing, Silica Mining, and Mining Services and Others segments.
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PT Ifishdeco Tbk engages in the mining exploration, development, production, transportation, trading, and sales of nickel ores in Indonesia and internationally. The company operates through Nickel Mining and Processing, Silica Mining, and Mining Services and Others segments. It processes, transports, trades in, and sells nickel pig iron and ferronickel alloy. In addition, the company is involved in stone graving; industrial area; investment activities. PT Ifishdeco Tbk was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Ifishdeco PT (IFSH) currently trades at 1,010 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 625.96 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 61.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 694.71 IDR per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1,010 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 296.63 IDR, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 382.30 IDR (bear) to 797.13 IDR (bull), the price of 1,010 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Ifishdeco PT reported revenue of 1.0T IDR in FY2025 versus 906B IDR in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 72.1B IDR in FY2025, compounding −19.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.2T IDR (≈ $123M) · P/E ratio 32.7 · P/S ratio 2.36 · EPS (TTM) 30.88 IDR · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 7.2% · Return on equity 11.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −38%, IFSH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 382.30 IDRFair Value 625.96 IDRBull 797.13 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (3.58 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+17.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7% vs 11%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +29.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−38% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Return on assets11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)18% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth43% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)32.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.57× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.01× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA7.7× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 36
PAST (return on equity)48· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)51· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ifishdeco PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IFSH
Frequently asked questions
Is Ifishdeco PT (IFSH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 625.96 IDR versus a price of 1,010 IDR, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IFSH?
Our model-based fair value for Ifishdeco PT is 625.96 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,010 IDR.
What is the quality score of IFSH?
Ifishdeco PT has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 625.96 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 382.30 IDR, optimistic scenario 797.13 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ifishdeco PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 625.96 IDR, about −38% upside versus a price of 1,010 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 382.30 IDR, optimistic scenario 797.13 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
Ifishdeco PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ifishdeco PT pay a dividend?
Ifishdeco PT currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ifishdeco PT would have to grow free cash flow by +32.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IFSH use?
Our models discount Ifishdeco PT at 14.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.89, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ifishdeco PT that is +32.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ifishdeco PT (IFSH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ifishdeco PT grew +20.3 % a year. The price currently implies +32.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ifishdeco PT (+32.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.65 %: that much free cash flow Ifishdeco PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ifishdeco PT it is 625.96 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,010 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ifishdeco PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IFSH trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,010 IDR, fair value 625.96 IDR, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IFSH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,010 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (625.96 IDR). For Ifishdeco PT the two are 384.04 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ifishdeco PT worth?
The market values Ifishdeco PT at about 2.2T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,010 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 625.96 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IFSH?
Our models span a range for Ifishdeco PT: cautious scenario 382.30 IDR, base 625.96 IDR, optimistic 797.13 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,010 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IFSH?
Ifishdeco PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 625.96 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 7.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ifishdeco PT (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.9%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IFSH from its 52-week high?
Ifishdeco PT trades at 1,010 IDR, about 68% below its 52-week high of 3,194 IDR and 33% above the low of 756.74 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 625.96 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ifishdeco PT?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ifishdeco PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,010 IDR, calculated fair value 625.96 IDR (−38%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IFSH calculated?
We run Ifishdeco PT through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 625.96 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ifishdeco PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1,010 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 625.96 IDR, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ifishdeco PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (797.13 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (382.30 IDR to 797.13 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Ifishdeco PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
The market capitalisation of Ifishdeco PT is 2.2T IDR (≈ $123M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ifishdeco PT is 2.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
Earnings per share at Ifishdeco PT are 30.88 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
The dividend yield of Ifishdeco PT is 2.6% (payout 84.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
The net margin of Ifishdeco PT is 7.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ifishdeco PT is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ifishdeco PT is 15.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
The operating margin of Ifishdeco PT is 17.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
Revenue at Ifishdeco PT is growing +43.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ifishdeco PT (IFSH)?
Earnings per share at Ifishdeco PT are growing +23.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Ifishdeco PT (IFSH) hold?
Ifishdeco PT holds more cash than debt, 78.0B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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