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Intercede Group (IGP) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · GB · Market cap 67.0M GBX

IG Intercede Group IGP · LSE
Price£1.13
Fair Value£1.05
Upside-6.7%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Wide moat 71/100
Evidence: High Range £0.7700 – £1.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from £1.02 to £1.05 (+2.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.9% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from £0.7700 (bear) to £1.38 (bull), base £1.05. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£2.04 £0.3654 Fair Value £1.05 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.3654 – £2.04 · fair‑value band £0.7700 – £1.38 · the £1.13 price screens above the £1.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Intercede Group (IGP) currently trades at £1.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.05, implying the stock looks roughly 6.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Intercede Group generated revenue of £17.4M at a net margin of 20.9%. Revenue declined 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £18.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.7700 (bear case) to £1.38 (bull case); at £1.13, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -7%, IGP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £0.7800 £0.9800 £1.25 80
Residual Income £0.3100 £0.3900 £1.00 76
Rev-Margin DCF £0.8000 £1.10 £1.48 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £0.7800 £1.02 £1.34 38
Owner Earnings £0.9100 £1.21 £1.62 31
5Y Revenue Exit £0.8000 £1.11 £1.51 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £0.8500 £1.21 £1.65 41
5Y P/E Exit £0.9600 £1.43 £1.94 38
10Y Revenue Exit £0.7700 £1.03 £1.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £0.8200 £1.10 £1.50 37
10Y P/E Exit £0.8700 £1.23 £1.70 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.3800 £1.58 £2.15 54
Lynch FV £0.4000 £0.5700 £0.7400 50
PEG = 1.0 £0.4000 £0.5700 £0.7400 46
EPV £0.6900 £0.7300 £0.7700 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.0600 £0.0900 £0.1200 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.0600 £0.0900 £0.1000 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £0.8400 £1.12 £1.40 63
P/S Multiple £0.5300 £0.7100 £0.8900 58
P/B Multiple £0.7200 £0.9500 £1.19 55
EV/EBIT £1.09 £1.34 £1.59 53
EV/EBITDA £0.9700 £1.18 £1.40 54
EV/Revenue £0.8300 £1.05 £1.26 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.1600 £0.2100 £0.3200 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.7800 £0.9800 £1.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF £0.8000 £1.10 £1.48 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.3100 £0.3900 £1.00 76
ROIC Compounder £0.6900 £0.7300 £0.7700 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £0.6600 £0.9500 £1.23 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (£1.11) versus Dividend Discount (£0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 17.4M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.9%
Net margin 20.9%
Return on equity 23.1%
Free cash flow 3.0M GBX FY2026
P/E ratio 19.6
More key figures
Operating margin 11.5%
EPS (TTM) £0.0600
EPS growth (YoY) -25.9%
Net cash 18.9M GBX FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 11
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Intercede Group plc, a cybersecurity company, develops and supplies identity and credential management software for digital trust primarily in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Intercede Group plc, a cybersecurity company, develops and supplies identity and credential management software for digital trust primarily in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company offers MyID Password Security Management which detects and prevents breached passwords through real-time and scheduled checking, stops accounts from sharing passwords and offers instant password feedback and automatic remediation. It also provides MyID IDV for registration and identity verification; and MyID MFA, a secure login and password replacement solution which provides multiple token and tokenless options to suit any scenario while ensuring a simple user experience. In addition, the company offers MyID CMS, a flexible software solution that enables organizations and governments to deploy and manage PKI based digital identities; and MyID PIV, a software solution for federal agencies that issue and manage secure digital identities to federal employees using public key infrastructure. It serves government and federal; US federal; aerospace and defense; finance and banking; healthcare and critical infrastructure; energy and utilities; manufacturing and industry; and military and police institutes. The company was formerly known as Optionsilver plc and changed its name to Intercede Group plc in December 2000. Intercede Group plc was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Lutterworth, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Intercede Group reported revenue of £17.2M in FY2026 versus £9.9M in FY2022, a compound +14.7%/yr. Reported net income was £3.4M in FY2026, compounding +47.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 83/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£17.2M
Latest YoY
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.8%
Revenue +14.7%/yr
FY22 £9.9M
FY23 £12.1M
FY24 £20.0M
FY25 £17.7M
FY26 £17.2M
Net income +47.0%/yr
FY22 £723K
FY23 £1.3M
FY24 £6.0M
FY25 £4.1M
FY26 £3.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Intercede Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IGP

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.27× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 29.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 19.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 24 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 38
PAST 74 · sector 13
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Shopify Inc SHOP C$173.23 C$20.54 -88%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Intercede Group (IGP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.05 versus a price of £1.13, about −7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of IGP?
Our model-based fair value for Intercede Group is £1.05 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £1.13.
What is the quality score of IGP?
Intercede Group has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Intercede Group (IGP)?
Intercede Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £17.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IGP?
The net profit margin of Intercede Group is about 20.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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