ILPRA SpA (ILP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ILPRA SpA stock €10.23, price €7.35, upside +39.2%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.57 – €8.85 · fair‑value band €4.60 – €13.36 · the €7.35 price screens below the €10.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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ILPRA S.p.A. engages in the design, production, and sale of packaging machines worldwide.
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It offers tray sealers, filling machines, thermoformers, doypack systems, dosing units, weighing systems, beauty-sector packaging machines, fixed-weight portioning systems for hard cheese, and end-of-line solutions; and technological solutions.
The company's products are used in the packaging of meat, dairy, ready meals, sliced meats, yogurt, poultry, seafood, sauces, fruits, cosmetics, medical, bakery, snacks, powders, baby food, pet food, dessert, vegetables, frozen food, ice cream, pasta, and vegan food, as well as medical and cosmetics sectors.
The company was founded in 1955 and is based in Milan, Italy.
Stock analysis
ILPRA SpA (ILP) currently trades at €7.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €10.23, implying the stock looks roughly 28% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €12.55 per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the €7.35 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €1.38, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €4.60 (bear) to €13.36 (bull), the price of €7.35 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
ILPRA SpA reported revenue of €85.2M in FY2025 versus €44.0M in FY2021, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was €6.1M in FY2025, compounding +65.7%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap €97.5M Micro · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 1.06 · EPS (TTM) €0.6000 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 7.7% · Return on equity 19.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 39%, ILP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€4.60Fair Value €10.23Bull€13.36
Price €7.35 · Upside +39.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.4116 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +65.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +63.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 63.9% / 25.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 14%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 11.9%/yr over ~7Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 0.044 per share, median 0.25 in 2016 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+72.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +69.1% a year for the price and +9.5% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 813 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside+39.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)19.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.1% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)7.7% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)10.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)21.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.49× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ILPRA SpA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ILP
Frequently asked questions
Is ILPRA SpA (ILP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €10.23 versus a price of €7.35, about +39% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ILP?
Our model-based fair value for ILPRA SpA is €10.23 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €7.35.
What is the quality score of ILP?
ILPRA SpA has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €10.23 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €4.60, optimistic scenario €13.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ILPRA SpA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €10.23, about +39% upside versus a price of €7.35 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €4.60, optimistic scenario €13.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
ILPRA SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €91.6M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does ILPRA SpA pay a dividend?
ILPRA SpA currently shows a dividend yield of 1.63% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of ILPRA SpA (ILP) and when is the ex-dividend date?
ILPRA SpA pays a dividend of €0.12 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 19, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2021. The payout ratio is 20.0% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.34 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ILPRA SpA would have to grow free cash flow by +72.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.6 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ILP use?
Our models discount ILPRA SpA at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.67, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ILPRA SpA that is +72.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ILPRA SpA (ILP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ILPRA SpA grew +18.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +72.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ILPRA SpA (ILP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ILPRA SpA (+72.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.56 %: that much free cash flow ILPRA SpA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ILPRA SpA it is €10.23 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of €7.35. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is ILPRA SpA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, ILP trades below its calculated fair value: price €7.35, fair value €10.23, a gap of about +39% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ILP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€7.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€10.23). For ILPRA SpA the two are €2.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ILPRA SpA worth?
The market values ILPRA SpA at about €97.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is €7.35; our models calculate a fair value of €10.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ILP?
Our models span a range for ILPRA SpA: cautious scenario €4.60, base €10.23, optimistic €13.36 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price €7.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ILP?
ILPRA SpA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €10.23 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2019 to 2025), reported earnings: 12.3. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 6.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
Balance-sheet figures for ILPRA SpA (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 19.6%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ILP from its 52-week high?
ILPRA SpA trades at €7.35, about 17% below its 52-week high of €8.85 and 41% above the low of €5.20 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €10.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ILPRA SpA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ILPRA SpA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price €7.35, calculated fair value €10.23 (+39%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ILP calculated?
We run ILPRA SpA through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €10.23 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. ILPRA SpA currently trades 28% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €7.35. Our model-based fair value is €10.23, about +39% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ILPRA SpA right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€4.60 to €13.36). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of ILPRA SpA
How large is the market capitalisation of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
The market capitalisation of ILPRA SpA is €97.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ILPRA SpA is 1.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
Earnings per share at ILPRA SpA are €0.6000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
The dividend yield of ILPRA SpA is 1.6% (payout 20.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
The net margin of ILPRA SpA is 7.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ILPRA SpA is 19.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ILPRA SpA is 10.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
The operating margin of ILPRA SpA is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
Revenue at ILPRA SpA is growing +21.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ILPRA SpA (ILP)?
Earnings per share at ILPRA SpA are growing +76.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does ILPRA SpA (ILP) carry?
The net debt of ILPRA SpA is €23.2M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 47.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 4, 2026