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Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust $7.51, price $7.47, upside +0.5%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · US · ISIN US4562371066

IL Industrial Logistics Properties Trust logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust

ILPT · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $7.51 · Fairly valued (+1%)
!Quality 43/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +12.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -11.9% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
·2.68% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $1.50 to $24.99
!Weak on future: 20 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$25.66 $1.59 Fair Value $7.51 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.59 – $25.66 · fair‑value band $1.50 – $24.99 · the $7.47 price screens below the $7.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on owning and leasing high quality industrial and logistics properties. As of March 31, 2026, ILPT's portfolio consisted of 409 properties containing approximately 59.6 million rentable square feet located in 39 states.

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Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on owning and leasing high quality industrial and logistics properties. As of March 31, 2026, ILPT's portfolio consisted of 409 properties containing approximately 59.6 million rentable square feet located in 39 states. Approximately 77% of ILPT's annualized rental revenues as of March 31, 2026, are derived from investment grade tenants, tenants that are subsidiaries of investment grade rated entities or Hawaii land leases. ILPT is managed by The RMR Group, a leading U.S. alternative asset management company with over 37 billion US dollars in assets under management as of March 31, 2026, and 40 years of institutional experience in buying, selling, financing and operating commercial real estate. ILPT is headquartered in Newton, MA. Industrial Logistics Properties Trust was incorporated in 2017 in Maryland, USA.

Stock analysis

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) currently trades at $7.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.51, implying the stock looks roughly 0.5% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $10.10 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the $7.47 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.53, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $1.50 (bear) to $24.99 (bull), the price of $7.47 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust reported revenue of $449M in FY2025 versus $220M in FY2021, a compound +19.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$66.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $540M · P/S ratio 1.19 · EPS (TTM) $−0.8100 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin −14.7% · Return on equity −9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin 34.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 1%, ILPT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.50 Fair Value $7.51 Bull $24.99
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF n/a n/a $32.28 77
Growth DCF n/a n/a $24.93 75
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a $15.39 $54.40 72
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a n/a $32.28 77
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a $15.39 $54.40 72
10Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a $3.45 64
10Y EBITDA Exit n/a $6.56 $44.45 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.9300 $1.67 $2.30 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.9300 $1.53 $1.79 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a n/a $0.8700 61
EV/EBITDA n/a $10.10 $27.67 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.67 $4.92 $7.35 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a n/a $24.93 75

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.5%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.7% a year
Revenue growth 10 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
44.5% (2019) → 33.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+55.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +52.2% a year for the price and +0.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+4.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.1%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Industrial · 55 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 8.56× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.10× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.19× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 12.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.7× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)34 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)20 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 77
DIVIDEND (yield)54 · sector 100

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $289.71 $231.14 −20%
Prologis, Inc PLDGP $51.15 $79.51 +55%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $134.99 $201.02 +49%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $203.44 $131.66 −35%
Lineage, Inc LINE $37.40 $31.03 −17%
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U 2.31 SGD 3.21 SGD +39%
CubeSmart CUBE $38.56 $34.32 −11%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR $61.89 $18.56 −70%
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR $38.23 $18.04 −53%
STAG Industrial, Inc STAG $37.32 $49.85 +34%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Industrial Logistics Properties Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ILPT

Frequently asked questions

Is Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.51 versus a price of $7.47, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ILPT?
Our model-based fair value for Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is $7.51 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.47.
What is the quality score of ILPT?
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.51 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.50, optimistic scenario $24.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Industrial Logistics Properties Trust stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.51, about +1% upside versus a price of $7.47 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $1.50, optimistic scenario $24.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $453M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Industrial Logistics Properties Trust pay a dividend?
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.68% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Industrial Logistics Properties Trust would have to grow free cash flow by +55.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ILPT use?
Our models discount Industrial Logistics Properties Trust at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 2.51, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Industrial Logistics Properties Trust that is +55.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Industrial Logistics Properties Trust grew +12.0 % a year. The price currently implies +55.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (+55.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.53 %: that much free cash flow Industrial Logistics Properties Trust produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Industrial Logistics Properties Trust it is $7.51 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $7.47. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Industrial Logistics Properties Trust stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ILPT trades below its calculated fair value: price $7.47, fair value $7.51, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ILPT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.51). For Industrial Logistics Properties Trust the two are $0.0400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Industrial Logistics Properties Trust worth?
The market values Industrial Logistics Properties Trust at about $540M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $7.47; our models calculate a fair value of $7.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ILPT?
Our models span a range for Industrial Logistics Properties Trust: cautious scenario $1.50, base $7.51, optimistic $24.99 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $7.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −9.6%, debt of 8.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ILPT from its 52-week high?
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust trades at $7.47, about 20% below its 52-week high of $9.36 and 50% above the low of $4.97 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Industrial Logistics Properties Trust?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500,, Prologis, Inc, Extra Space Storage Inc, EastGroup Properties, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Industrial Logistics Properties Trust stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $7.47, calculated fair value $7.51 (+1%), Quality Score 43/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ILPT calculated?
We run Industrial Logistics Properties Trust through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $7.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Industrial Logistics Properties Trust currently trades 1 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $7.47. Our model-based fair value is $7.51, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Industrial Logistics Properties Trust right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($1.50 to $24.99). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust

How large is the market capitalisation of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
The market capitalisation of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is $540M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is 1.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
Earnings per share at Industrial Logistics Properties Trust are $−0.8100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
The dividend yield of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is 2.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
The net margin of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is −14.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is −9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
The operating margin of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is 34.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
Revenue at Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is growing +4.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
Earnings per share at Industrial Logistics Properties Trust are growing +56.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) carry?
The net debt of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is $4.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 96.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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