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Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $540M

IL Industrial Logistics Properties Trust logo Industrial Logistics Properties Trust ILPT · US
Price$8.78
Fair Value$9.64
Upside+9.8%
Quality43/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -11.9% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
2.40% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.93 – $27.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +2.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($1.93 to $27.20). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$25.66 $1.59 Fair Value $9.64 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.59 – $25.66 · fair‑value band $1.93 – $27.20 · the $8.78 price screens below the $9.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) currently trades at $8.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.64, implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Industrial Logistics Properties Trust generated revenue of $453M at a net margin of -11.9%. Revenue grew 4.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.6%. Net debt stands at $4.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.93 (bear case) to $27.20 (bull case); at $8.78, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 10%, ILPT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.9300 $1.67 $2.30 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.9300 $1.53 $1.79 61
EV/EBITDA $10.10 $27.67 54
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.72 $39.13 41
10Y EBITDA Exit $16.97 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.9300 $1.67 $2.30 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.9300 $1.53 $1.79 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.8700 53
EV/EBITDA $10.10 $27.67 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.67 $4.92 $7.35 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($10.10) versus Dividend Discount ($1.53). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $453M
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.0%
Net margin -11.9%
Return on equity -9.6%
Free cash flow $42.0M FY2025
Operating margin 34.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.8100
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +56.5%
Net debt $4.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 89
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on owning and leasing high quality industrial and logistics properties. As of March 31, 2026, ILPT's portfolio consisted of 409 properties containing approximately 59.6 million rentable square feet located in 39 states.

Full company description

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on owning and leasing high quality industrial and logistics properties. As of March 31, 2026, ILPT's portfolio consisted of 409 properties containing approximately 59.6 million rentable square feet located in 39 states. Approximately 77% of ILPT's annualized rental revenues as of March 31, 2026, are derived from investment grade tenants, tenants that are subsidiaries of investment grade rated entities or Hawaii land leases. ILPT is managed by The RMR Group, a leading U.S. alternative asset management company with over 37 billion US dollars in assets under management as of March 31, 2026, and 40 years of institutional experience in buying, selling, financing and operating commercial real estate. ILPT is headquartered in Newton, MA. Industrial Logistics Properties Trust was incorporated in 2017 in Maryland, USA.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust reported revenue of $449M in FY2025 versus $220M in FY2021, a compound +19.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$66.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$449M
Latest YoY
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+11.7%
Revenue +19.5%/yr
FY21 $220M
FY22 $388M
FY23 $437M
FY24 $442M
FY25 $449M
Net income
FY21 $120M
FY22 −$227M
FY23 −$108M
FY24 −$95.7M
FY25 −$66.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Industrial Logistics Properties Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ILPT

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 8.56× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.10× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 12.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 46 · sector 5
FUTURE 20 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 0 · sector 76
DIVIDEND 48 · sector 100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Prologis, Inc PLD $143.42 $61.28 -57%
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $322.48 $172.80 -46%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $147.71 $78.38 -47%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $213.10 $81.41 -62%
Lineage, Inc LINE $41.42 $47.91 +16%
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U 2.51 SGD 2.00 SGD -20%
CubeSmart CUBE $42.09 $25.06 -40%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR $66.99 $21.48 -68%
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR $39.00 $21.35 -45%
STAG Industrial, Inc STAG $41.11 $24.31 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.64 versus a price of $8.78, about +10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ILPT?
Our model-based fair value for Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is $9.64 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.78.
What is the quality score of ILPT?
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)?
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $453M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ILPT?
The net profit margin of Industrial Logistics Properties Trust is about -11.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Industrial Logistics Properties Trust pay a dividend?
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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