Ingenia Communities Group (INA) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · AU · Market cap A$1.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +1.6% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (A$2.72 to A$5.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$3.21 – A$6.12 · fair‑value band A$2.72 – A$5.95 · the A$4.48 price screens above the A$4.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Ingenia Communities Group (INA) currently trades at A$4.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$4.33, implying the stock looks roughly 3.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ingenia Communities Group generated revenue of A$541M at a net margin of 25.6%. Revenue grew 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at A$866M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$2.72 (bear case) to A$5.95 (bull case); at A$4.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -3%, INA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$4.89) versus Dividend Discount (A$1.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ingenia Communities Group is a leading operator, owner and developer of communities offering quality affordable rental and holiday accommodation focused on the growing seniors' market in Australia. Listed on the Australian Securities Exchange, the Group is included in the S&P/ASX 200 and has a market capitalization of 2 billion dollars.
Full company description
Ingenia Communities Group is a leading operator, owner and developer of communities offering quality affordable rental and holiday accommodation focused on the growing seniors' market in Australia. Listed on the Australian Securities Exchange, the Group is included in the S&P/ASX 200 and has a market capitalization of 2 billion dollars. Across Ingenia Lifestyle, Ingenia Gardens, Ingenia Holidays and Ingenia Rental, the Group has 100 communities and is continuing to grow through acquisition and development. Ingenia Communities Group is incorporated in 2004 in Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ingenia Communities Group reported revenue of A$529M in FY2025 versus A$296M in FY2021, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$128M in FY2025, compounding +15.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
REIT - Residential · 57 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AvalonBay Communities, Inc AVB | $190.80 | $126.12 | -34% |
| EQR EQR | $67.86 | $38.10 | -44% |
| Essex Property Trust, Inc ESS | $293.46 | $177.90 | -39% |
| Invitation Homes INVH | $29.78 | $16.82 | -44% |
| Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc MAA | $133.88 | $65.28 | -51% |
| Sun Communities, Inc SUI | $121.83 | $114.79 | -6% |
| UDR, Inc UDR | $39.59 | $19.76 | -50% |
| American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH | $33.11 | $21.44 | -35% |
| Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS | $66.05 | $21.27 | -68% |
| Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company CPT | $113.73 | $41.87 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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