Innovatec S.p.A (INC) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · IT · Market cap €18.0M
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price +15.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 87% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.0500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.1668 – €2.47 · fair‑value band €0.0300 – €0.0500 · the €0.2345 price screens above the €0.0300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
Innovatec S.p.A (INC) currently trades at €0.2345, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.0300, implying the stock looks roughly 87.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Innovatec S.p.A generated revenue of €27.4M at a net margin of -17.1%. Revenue declined 87.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.4%. Net debt stands at €13.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.0300 (bear case) to €0.0500 (bull case); at €0.2345, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -87%, INC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Innovatec S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides technologies, processes, products, and services in the areas of energy efficiency and renewables in Italy.
Full company description
Innovatec S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides technologies, processes, products, and services in the areas of energy efficiency and renewables in Italy. The company offers relamping, heat pumps, cogeneration and trigeneration systems, photovoltaic and agrivoltaic systems, biomass boilers, and geothermal technologies; and green energy portfolio management and energy requalification of buildings. It also provides technical-strategic consultancy; training services on sustainability and circularity; and monitoring and assessment of digital tools, including circularity platforms, sustainability and circularity assessments, and GHG and ESG reporting tools. In addition, the company is involved in the management of the Boscaccio landfill and energy recovery of landfill biogas. The company was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy. Innovatec S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of Mercato, Inc.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Innovatec S.p.A reported revenue of €25.1M in FY2025 versus €140M in FY2021, a compound −34.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€4.7M in FY2025.
INC screens 87% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $88.80 | $32.94 | -63% |
| The Southern Company SO | $95.61 | $61.06 | -36% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $126.11 | $97.11 | -23% |
| National Grid plc NGG | 61,175 ARS | 44,377 ARS | -27% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $132.50 | $79.33 | -40% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $70.08 | $46.92 | -33% |
| NTPC Limited NTPC | ₹341.85 | ₹377.16 | +10% |
| CEZ, a. s. CEZ | 232.40 PLN | 159.33 PLN | -31% |
| Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID | ₹283.55 | ₹252.77 | -11% |
| China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 | ¥8.91 | ¥7.69 | -14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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