Infrea AB (INFREA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 371M SEK (≈ $38.7M) · ISIN SE0010600106
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price +4.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 57% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 24.27). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 9.23 – kr 46.15 · fair‑value band kr 24.27 – kr 40.44 · the kr 13.85 price screens below the kr 32.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Infrea AB (INFREA) currently trades at kr 13.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 32.35, implying the stock looks roughly 133.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Infrea AB generated revenue of 2.0B SEK at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue declined 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.5M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 24.27 (bear case) to kr 40.44 (bull case); at kr 13.85, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 134%, INFREA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 102.50) versus Economic Profit (kr 6.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Infrea AB engages in maintaining, improving and expanding infrastructure in Sweden. The company operates through three segments: Land & Construction, Paving and Water & Sewage. It offers water supply, sewage management and road maintenance; contracting, service and maintenance services for water, sewage, land.
Full company description
Infrea AB engages in maintaining, improving and expanding infrastructure in Sweden. The company operates through three segments: Land & Construction, Paving and Water & Sewage. It offers water supply, sewage management and road maintenance; contracting, service and maintenance services for water, sewage, land. The company is also involved in land contracting, foundation laying, excavation, fine grading, asphalting including the production of asphalt and mastic asphalt; and pipe inspections with cameras, high-pressure flushing, sludge suction, dry and trench suction, relining and transport of hazardous waste and residual water. In addition, it's customers include municipalities, government agencies and other public institutions; energy companies, transport companies and other industries that work with infrastructure projects. The company was formerly known as Grand Capital and is changed to Infrea AB in October 2017. Infrea AB was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Infrea AB reported revenue of kr 2.1B in FY2025 versus kr 1.3B in FY2021, a compound +13.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 63.0M in FY2025, compounding +78.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $616.73 | $143.92 | -77% |
| Vinci SA DG | €114.35 | €185.62 | +62% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,615 | $519.97 | -68% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹4,072 | ₹2,196 | -46% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | €57.28 | €19.17 | -67% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €426.40 | €203.87 | -52% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 357,500 KRW | 261,411 KRW | -27% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $775.04 | $549.47 | -29% |
| MasTec, Inc MTZ | $248.73 | $100.00 | -60% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €46.65 | €65.67 | +41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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