Innio N.V (INIO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Innio N.V stock $10.06, price $17.52, upside -42.6%, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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IndustrialsUS · Based in Germany · ISIN NL00150745D9
INSome dataOct 30, 2026
Innio N.V
INIO · US
Stretched Valuation
Our calculation puts a fair price 43% below what the stock costs today.
Quality 61/100
Healthy Growth(revenue YoY +22.1 %/yr in USD)
Generates free cash flow
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +57%, profit +196%.
Innio N.V., through its subsidiaries, provides power generation equipment and services under the Jenbacher and Waukesha brands. It operates in two segments, Equipment and Services.
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The Equipment segment designs, manufactures, and sells new engines, product-related equipment, and related solutions for data center, power solutions, and compression end-markets.
The Services segment provides aftermarket services through an engine's lifecycle, including service agreements, spare parts, overhauls, remanufacturing of engines and components, digital solutions, and service-related activities, as well as maintenance and replacement of parts.
It also operates Myplant, an AI-enabled fleet management platform. Th company operates in Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of North America, and internationally. Innio N.V. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany.
Innio N.V. operates as a subsidiary of AI Alpine (Luxembourg) S.à r.l.
Stock analysis
Innio N.V (INIO) currently trades at $17.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.06, 42.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $15.09 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the $17.52 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $1.24, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $7.04 (bear) to $13.08 (bull), the price of $17.52 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Innio N.V reported revenue of $2.6B in FY2025 versus $2.0B in FY2023, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was $144M in FY2025, compounding +35.4%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap $13.1B Large · P/E ratio 134.8 · P/S ratio 3.74 · EPS (TTM) $0.1300 · Dividend yield 5.3% · Net margin 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% · Operating margin 16.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −43%, INIO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$7.04Fair Value $10.06Bull$13.08
Price $17.52 · Upside -42.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1079 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+31.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.4% a year for the price and +28.3% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (29 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 812 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−42.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets2.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)2.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)16.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)57.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)5.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity12.16× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)134.8× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.74× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow34.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA27.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 28
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Innio N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INIO
Frequently asked questions
Is Innio N.V (INIO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.06 versus a price of $17.52, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of INIO?
Our model-based fair value for Innio N.V is $10.06 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $17.52.
What is the quality score of INIO?
Innio N.V has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Innio N.V (INIO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.06 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.04, optimistic scenario $13.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Innio N.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.06, about −43% upside versus a price of $17.52 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.04, optimistic scenario $13.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Innio N.V (INIO)?
Innio N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Innio N.V pay a dividend?
Innio N.V currently shows a dividend yield of 5.26% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Innio N.V (INIO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Innio N.V would have to grow free cash flow by +21.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew +14.4 % per year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of INIO use?
Our models discount Innio N.V at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Innio N.V that is +21.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Innio N.V (INIO) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Innio N.V grew +14.4 % a year. The price currently implies +21.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Innio N.V (INIO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Innio N.V (+21.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Innio N.V (INIO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.87 %: that much free cash flow Innio N.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Innio N.V (INIO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Innio N.V it is $10.06 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of $17.52. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Innio N.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, INIO trades above its calculated fair value: price $17.52, fair value $10.06, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of INIO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($17.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.06). For Innio N.V the two are $7.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Innio N.V worth?
The market values Innio N.V at about $13.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is $17.52; our models calculate a fair value of $10.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about INIO?
Our models span a range for Innio N.V: cautious scenario $7.04, base $10.06, optimistic $13.08 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price $17.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of INIO?
Innio N.V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 134.8 (as of Oct 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.06 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 3.7, EV/EBITDA 27.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Innio N.V (INIO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Innio N.V (as of Oct 30, 2026): debt of 12.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Innio N.V?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Innio N.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price $17.52, calculated fair value $10.06 (−43%), Quality Score 61/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of INIO calculated?
We run Innio N.V through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Innio N.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Innio N.V (INIO)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was $17.52. Our model-based fair value is $10.06, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Innio N.V right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($7.04 to $13.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Innio N.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Innio N.V (INIO)?
The market capitalisation of Innio N.V is $13.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Innio N.V (INIO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Innio N.V is 3.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Innio N.V (INIO)?
Earnings per share at Innio N.V are $0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 134.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Innio N.V (INIO)?
The dividend yield of Innio N.V is 5.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Innio N.V (INIO)?
The net margin of Innio N.V is 2.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Innio N.V (INIO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Innio N.V is 6.9% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Innio N.V (INIO)?
The operating margin of Innio N.V is 16.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Innio N.V (INIO)?
Revenue at Innio N.V is growing +57.3% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Innio N.V (INIO)?
Earnings per share at Innio N.V are growing +196% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Innio N.V (INIO) carry?
The net debt of Innio N.V is $2.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Oct 30, 2026