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Inseego Corp (INSG) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $168M

IC Inseego Corp logo Inseego Corp INSG · US
Price$5.51
Fair Value$1.79
Upside-67.6%
Quality43/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.3% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: High Range $1.00 – $2.49 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −33.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 68% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.00 to $2.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$105.50 $1.80 Fair Value $1.79 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.80 – $105.50 · fair‑value band $1.00 – $2.49 · the $5.51 price screens above the $1.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Inseego Corp (INSG) currently trades at $5.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.79, implying the stock looks roughly 67.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Inseego Corp generated revenue of $169M at a net margin of -1.3%. Revenue grew 8.4% year over year. Net debt stands at $23.5M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.00 (bear case) to $2.49 (bull case); at $5.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -68%, INSG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.00 $2.65 $3.70 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.65 $2.71 $4.07 74
ROIC Compounder $0.8400 $1.10 $1.35 72
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.93 $2.63 $3.84 38
Owner Earnings $2.88 $3.79 $5.39 31
5Y Revenue Exit $1.65 $2.63 $4.10 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.96 $6.57 $10.10 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.7100 $1.04 $1.47 38
10Y Revenue Exit $1.71 $2.46 $3.27 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.97 $4.63 $6.48 37
10Y P/E Exit $1.28 $1.58 $1.86 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.3500 $0.5300 $0.6300 54
EPV $0.8300 $1.05 $1.23 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.49 $1.66 $1.85 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.49 $1.80 $2.13 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.7700 $1.03 $1.29 63
P/S Multiple $0.6600 $0.8800 $1.09 58
EV/EBIT $2.87 $4.17 $5.47 53
EV/EBITDA $6.85 $9.47 $12.10 54
EV/Revenue $1.60 $2.73 $3.85 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.00 $2.65 $3.70 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.65 $2.71 $4.07 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.8400 $1.10 $1.35 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.5500 $0.7800 $1.01 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($2.73) versus Earnings-Based ($0.5300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $169M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.4%
Net margin -1.3%
Return on equity -835%
Free cash flow $6.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 16.1
More key figures
Operating margin -6.9%
EPS (TTM) $0.6400
EPS growth (YoY) -86.4%
Net debt $23.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 7
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Inseego Corp. engages in the design and development of cloud-managed wireless wide area network (WAN) and intelligent edge solutions for businesses, consumers, and governments in the United Stated, Europe, and internationally. The company offers 5G and 4G mobile broadband solutions, such as mobile hotspots under the MiFi brand.

Full company description

Inseego Corp. engages in the design and development of cloud-managed wireless wide area network (WAN) and intelligent edge solutions for businesses, consumers, and governments in the United Stated, Europe, and internationally. The company offers 5G and 4G mobile broadband solutions, such as mobile hotspots under the MiFi brand. It also provides fixed wireless access solutions, including indoor, outdoor, and industrial routers and gateways. In addition, the company provides cloud management solutions, as well as wireless subscriber lifecycle management solutions. Further, the company offers Inseego Subscribe, a wireless subscriber management solution for carrier's servicing of their government and complex enterprise customer. It serves transportation companies, industrial companies, governmental agencies, manufacturers, mobile operators, system integrators, distributors, and enterprises. Inseego Corp. was founded in 1996 and is based in San Diego, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Inseego Corp reported revenue of $166M in FY2025 versus $262M in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was $838K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$166M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.7%
Revenue −10.8%/yr
FY21 $262M
FY22 $245M
FY23 $167M
FY24 $191M
FY25 $166M
Net income
FY21 −$48.1M
FY22 −$68.0M
FY23 −$46.2M
FY24 $4.6M
FY25 $838K

INSG screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Inseego Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INSG

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 286 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −68% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 25.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 55.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.18× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 42 · sector 30
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $119.25 $43.05 -64%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥1,094 ¥171.09 -84%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥56.50 ¥28.65 -49%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥482.88 ¥155.05 -68%
Nokia Oyj NOK $11.25 $2.67 -76%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $413.31 $190.43 -54%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥244.13 ¥32.04 -87%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $11.72 $15.96 +36%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,090 TWD 846.28 TWD -60%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥40.00 ¥15.75 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Inseego Corp (INSG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.79 versus a price of $5.51, about −68% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of INSG?
Our model-based fair value for Inseego Corp is $1.79 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.51.
What is the quality score of INSG?
Inseego Corp has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
Inseego Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $169M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of INSG?
The net profit margin of Inseego Corp is about -1.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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