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Inseego Corp (INSG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Inseego Corp $1.96, price $4.10, upside -52.1%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ISIN US45782B3024

IC Inseego Corp logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Inseego Corp

INSG · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.96 · Strongly overvalued (−52%)
!Quality 43/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −2.7 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -1.3% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 0.5%
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$105.50 $1.80 Fair Value $1.96 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.80 – $105.50 · fair‑value band $1.00 – $2.92 · the $4.10 price screens above the $1.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Inseego Corp. engages in the design and development of cloud-managed wireless wide area network (WAN) and intelligent edge solutions for businesses, consumers, and governments in the United Stated, Europe, and internationally. The company offers 5G and 4G mobile broadband solutions, such as mobile hotspots under the MiFi brand.

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Inseego Corp. engages in the design and development of cloud-managed wireless wide area network (WAN) and intelligent edge solutions for businesses, consumers, and governments in the United Stated, Europe, and internationally. The company offers 5G and 4G mobile broadband solutions, such as mobile hotspots under the MiFi brand. It also provides fixed wireless access solutions, including indoor, outdoor, and industrial routers and gateways. In addition, the company provides cloud management solutions, as well as wireless subscriber lifecycle management solutions. Further, the company offers Inseego Subscribe, a wireless subscriber management solution for carrier's servicing of their government and complex enterprise customer. It serves transportation companies, industrial companies, governmental agencies, manufacturers, mobile operators, system integrators, distributors, and enterprises. Inseego Corp. was founded in 1996 and is based in San Diego, California.

Stock analysis

Inseego Corp (INSG) currently trades at $4.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.96, implying the stock looks roughly 108.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $3.64 per share, and 7 of the 19 models we run sit above the $4.10 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.5300, and 12 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $1.00 (bear) to $2.92 (bull), the price of $4.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.

Inseego Corp reported revenue of $166M in FY2025 versus $262M in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was $838K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $168M · P/E ratio 16.1 · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) $0.6400 · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity −835% · Return on assets (EBIT) −16.1% · Operating margin −6.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −52%, INSG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.00 Fair Value $1.96 Bull $2.92
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4699 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $3.47 $4.52 $6.36 81
Growth DCF $3.57 $4.56 $6.16 80
Owner Earnings $4.42 $5.69 $7.92 77
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.47 $4.52 $6.36 81
Owner Earnings $4.42 $5.69 $7.92 77
5Y Revenue Exit $2.37 $3.39 $4.93 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.07 $9.68 $14.59 74
5Y P/E Exit $1.58 $2.05 $2.65 72
10Y Revenue Exit $2.81 $3.64 $4.52 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.80 $7.12 $9.69 69
10Y P/E Exit $2.45 $2.90 $3.30 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.3500 $0.5300 $0.6300 67
EPV $0.8300 $1.05 $1.23 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.08 $1.44 $1.80 63
P/S Multiple $0.6600 $0.8800 $1.09 58
EV/EBIT $4.17 $5.90 $7.64 65
EV/EBITDA $9.88 $13.51 $17.15 67
EV/Revenue $1.60 $2.73 $3.85 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.57 $4.56 $6.16 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.37 $3.52 $5.02 72
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.8400 $1.10 $1.35 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.7600 $1.08 $1.40 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 2

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 7
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−8.0% (2020) → 2.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+12.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.2% a year for the price and +9.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+13.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+14.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+12.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+11.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+9.8%

INSG screens 109% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 316 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 25.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 55.3× · Priciest 25%
PEG 3.18× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)42 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $106.44 $117.08 +10%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥927.72 ¥349.40 −62%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥62.98 ¥14.18 −77%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥455.00 ¥329.86 −28%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.63 $3.71 −65%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $460.44 $248.10 −46%
Ciena Corporation CIEN $368.56 $48.80 −87%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥275.84 ¥87.34 −68%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 6869 HK$190.50 HK$32.70 −83%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 1,895 TWD 2,085 TWD +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Inseego Corp (INSG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.96 versus a price of $4.10, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of INSG?
Our model-based fair value for Inseego Corp is $1.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.10.
What is the quality score of INSG?
Inseego Corp has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Inseego Corp (INSG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.00, optimistic scenario $2.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Inseego Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.96, about −52% upside versus a price of $4.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.00, optimistic scenario $2.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
Inseego Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $169M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Inseego Corp (INSG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Inseego Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +13.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -11.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of INSG use?
Our models discount Inseego Corp at 14.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.63, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Inseego Corp that is +13.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Inseego Corp (INSG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Inseego Corp grew -11.9 % a year. The price currently implies +13.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Inseego Corp (INSG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Inseego Corp (+13.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.53 %: that much free cash flow Inseego Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Inseego Corp it is $1.96 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $4.10. It is the blended result of 19 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Inseego Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, INSG trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.10, fair value $1.96, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of INSG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.96). For Inseego Corp the two are $2.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Inseego Corp worth?
The market values Inseego Corp at about $168M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $4.10; our models calculate a fair value of $1.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about INSG?
Our models span a range for Inseego Corp: cautious scenario $1.00, base $1.96, optimistic $2.92 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $4.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of INSG?
Inseego Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.96 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.2, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 55.3.
What is the PEG ratio of INSG?
The PEG ratio of Inseego Corp is 3.18 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Inseego Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is INSG from its 52-week high?
Inseego Corp trades at $4.10, about 80% below its 52-week high of $20.29 and 2% above the low of $4.02 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Inseego Corp?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Inseego Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $4.10, calculated fair value $1.96 (−52%), Quality Score 43/100, from 19 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of INSG calculated?
We run Inseego Corp through 19 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Inseego Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $4.10. Our model-based fair value is $1.96, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Inseego Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($1.00 to $2.92). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Inseego Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
The market capitalisation of Inseego Corp is $168M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Inseego Corp is 0.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
Earnings per share at Inseego Corp are $0.6400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
The net margin of Inseego Corp is 0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Inseego Corp is −835% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Inseego Corp is −16.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Inseego Corp (INSG)?
The operating margin of Inseego Corp is −6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Inseego Corp (INSG)?
Revenue at Inseego Corp is growing +8.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Inseego Corp (INSG)?
Earnings per share at Inseego Corp are growing −86.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Inseego Corp (INSG) carry?
The net debt of Inseego Corp is $23.5M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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