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Intrum Justitia AB (INTRUM) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · SE · Market cap 10.4B SEK (≈ $1.1B) · ISIN SE0000936478

IJ Intrum Justitia AB INTRUM · ST
Pricekr 3.90
Fair Valuekr 9.30
Upside+138.5%
Quality52/100
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Strengths

Trades 58% below our fair value of kr 9.30

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -11.5% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.2 %/yr)
Loss-making · -11.5% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 3.72 – kr 14.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Share price +22.0% over the past month.

A solid business, trading 58% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (kr 3.72 to kr 14.87). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 279.36 kr 2.99 Fair Value kr 9.30 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 2.99 – kr 279.36 · fair‑value band kr 3.72 – kr 14.87 · the kr 3.90 price screens below the kr 9.30 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Intrum Justitia AB (INTRUM) currently trades at kr 3.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 9.30, implying the stock looks roughly 138.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Intrum Justitia AB generated revenue of 16.5B SEK at a net margin of -11.5%. Revenue declined 12.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.8%. Net debt stands at 41.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 3.72 (bear case) to kr 14.87 (bull case); at kr 3.90, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 138%, INTRUM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence kr 4.06 kr 14.57 kr 31.24 73
Growth DCF kr 4.23 kr 14.58 kr 30.97 71
5Y Revenue Exit kr 2.02 kr 7.97 69
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence kr 4.06 kr 14.57 kr 31.24 73
5Y Revenue Exit kr 2.02 kr 7.97 69
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 2.90 kr 12.86 kr 24.66 69
10Y Revenue Exit kr 4.34 kr 10.99 64
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 3.15 kr 11.98 kr 24.07 63
Multiples
EV/EBIT kr 5.06 kr 11.00 kr 16.93 62
EV/EBITDA kr 3.99 kr 9.57 kr 15.15 63
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.71 kr 2.29 kr 3.41 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 4.23 kr 14.58 kr 30.97 71
Rev-Margin DCF kr 2.17 kr 8.08 69

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 11.98) versus Growth DCF (kr 2.17). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (73).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.15 TTM
EPS (TTM) kr -14.83
Net margin -8.4% FY2025
Return on equity -10.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 36.6% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 16.5B SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.2% 3y avg -3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -98.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 4.5B SEK FY2025
Net debt 41.4B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 9.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 46
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Intrum AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides payment solutions, and credit and collection services in Europe and internationally. It operates in two segments, Servicing and Investing.

Full company description

Intrum AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides payment solutions, and credit and collection services in Europe and internationally. It operates in two segments, Servicing and Investing. The company offers invoicing and payment services, including reminder, invoice, and accounts receivable management services; debt recovery and purchase services; credit optimization comprising credit monitoring, decisioning, and information services; debt collection; e-commerce; financial; and collateral services. It also provides Ophelos, a platform for AI debt collection and machine learning technologies, smart communications, and vulnerability detection. The company operates in Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Austria, Germany, Belgium, Netherlands, Switzerland, France, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Italy, Greece, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, and Poland. Intrum AB (publ) was founded in 1923 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Intrum Justitia AB reported revenue of kr 17.0B in FY2025 versus kr 17.8B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 1.4B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 28/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
17.0B SEK
Latest YoY
−5.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −1.1%/yr
FY21 kr 17.8B
FY22 kr 19.1B
FY23 kr 17.7B
FY24 kr 18.0B
FY25 kr 17.0B
Net income
FY21 kr 3.1B
FY22 −kr 4.5B
FY23 −kr 187M
FY24 −kr 3.7B
FY25 −kr 1.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Intrum Justitia AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INTRUM

Peer Group

Credit Services · 338 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +139% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Above median
Revenue growth -12% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 3.97× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 35
FUTURE0 · sector 41
PAST0 · sector 32
HEALTH0 · sector 59
DIVIDEND0 · sector 58

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $379.66 $198.27 -48%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $591.73 $221.87 -63%
American Express Company AXP $334.16 $206.40 -38%
Capital One Financial Corporation COF $215.67 $117.51 -46%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,093 ₹397.70 -64%
PayPal Holdings PYPL $61.47 $77.12 +25%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,134 ₹553.82 -51%
Synchrony Financial, SYF $79.78 $137.28 +72%
SoFi Technologies, Inc SOFI $18.06 $5.02 -72%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,866 ₹796.47 -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Intrum Justitia AB (INTRUM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 9.30 versus a price of kr 3.90, about +138% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of INTRUM?
Our model-based fair value for Intrum Justitia AB is kr 9.30 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 3.90.
What is the quality score of INTRUM?
Intrum Justitia AB has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Intrum Justitia AB (INTRUM)?
Intrum Justitia AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.5B SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of INTRUM?
The net profit margin of Intrum Justitia AB is about -11.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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