Investec Group (INVP) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · GB · Market cap 3.9B GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from £8.16 to £12.15 (+48.9%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +11.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 98% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (£9.11). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £1.68 – £6.15 · fair‑value band £9.11 – £15.18 · the £6.15 price screens below the £12.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Investec Group (INVP) currently trades at £6.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £12.15, implying the stock looks roughly 97.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Investec Group generated revenue of £2.1B at a net margin of 35.1%. Revenue grew 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. Net debt stands at £3.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £9.11 (bear case) to £15.18 (bull case); at £6.15, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 98%, INVP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£12.76) versus Asset-Based (£5.81). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Investec Group provides various financial products and services in South Africa, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Full company description
Investec Group provides various financial products and services in South Africa, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company provides private banking services; wealth services, including wealth and portfolio management, stockbroking, and offshore and retirement investment, and intergenerational wealth solutions; savings accounts; personal and property financing, and finance for practice; and insurance solutions comprising severe illness, disability, life, mortgage and income protection, and business overloads. It also offers business banking solutions, such as trade and debtor, asset and leverage, structured property, technology asset, supply chain, and medical practice financing services, as well as financing for corporate and private equity firms; transaction banking, private capital, and forex and risk management solutions; foreign exchange services; instant access and call, notice, and fixed-term deposit accounts; and money market services and equity structured products. In addition, the company provides advisory; treasury and risk management for foreign exchange, commodities, interest rates, liquidity management, and equity structuring; fixed-income instruments; execution and custody solutions for institutions, hedge funds, corporates, and intermediaries; securities lending; and clearing services. Investec Group was founded in 1974 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Investec Group reported revenue of £4.7B in FY2026 versus £2.9B in FY2022, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was £726M in FY2026, compounding +8.9%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +4.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Capital Markets · 421 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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