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Innoviz Technologies (INVZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Innoviz Technologies $0.09, price $0.41, upside -79.2%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · US · Home Israel · ISIN IL0011745804

IT Innoviz Technologies logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Innoviz Technologies

INVZ · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.0850 · Strongly overvalued (−79%)
!Quality 37/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +109.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -153.1% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$10.65 $0.3033 Fair Value $0.0850 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.3033 – $10.65 · fair‑value band $0.0595 – $0.1020 · the $0.4081 price screens above the $0.0850 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Innoviz Technologies Ltd. manufactures and sells automotive grade LiDAR sensors and perception software to enable safe autonomous driving at a mass scale.

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Innoviz Technologies Ltd. manufactures and sells automotive grade LiDAR sensors and perception software to enable safe autonomous driving at a mass scale. The company offers InnovizOne, a solid-state LiDAR sensor designed for automakers and robotaxis, shuttles, trucks, and delivery companies requiring an automotive-grade and mass-producible solution to achieve autonomy. It also provides InnovizTwo Long-Range, a automotive-grade LiDAR sensor solution for various levels of autonomous driving; InnovizTwo Short- to Mid-Range, a automotive-grade LiDAR sensor designed to cover the short- and medium-range vehicles; InnovizThree, third-generation LiDAR platform, designed to deliver range detection with cost efficiency and installation flexibility for behind-the-windshield, rooftop or front grille integration; and perception application, a software application that turns raw point cloud data into perception ready outputs designed to serve as functionally safe software into a vehicle's driving platform stack. The company operates in Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, Israel, and North America. It markets and sells its products through a direct sales organization, as well as distribution channels. Innoviz Technologies Ltd. is headquartered in Rosh HaAyin, Israel.

Stock analysis

Innoviz Technologies (INVZ) currently trades at $0.4081, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0850, implying the stock looks roughly 380.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0595 (bear) to $0.1020 (bull), the price of $0.4081 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Innoviz Technologies reported revenue of $55.1M in FY2025 versus $5.5M in FY2021, a compound +78.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$67.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $91.7M · P/S ratio 1.70 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3800 · Net margin −123% · Return on equity −115% · Return on assets (EBIT) −57.4% · Operating margin −102% · Revenue (TTM) $53.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 83% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −79%, INVZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0595 Fair Value $0.0850 Bull $0.1020
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.1300 $0.1700 $0.2600 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1300 $0.1700 $0.2600 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 11
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+127.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+109.1%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+163.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4,410.0% (2019) → −123.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

INVZ screens 380% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −38% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −153% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −102% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 86% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.18× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.72× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.71 ¥28.28 −38%
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Innoviz Technologies · Fair Value
$0.0850 −380%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Innoviz Technologies Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INVZ

Frequently asked questions

Is Innoviz Technologies (INVZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0850 versus a price of $0.4081, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of INVZ?
Our model-based fair value for Innoviz Technologies is $0.0850 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4081.
What is the quality score of INVZ?
Innoviz Technologies has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0850 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0595, optimistic scenario $0.1020. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Innoviz Technologies stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0850, about −79% upside versus a price of $0.4081 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0595, optimistic scenario $0.1020. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
Innoviz Technologies reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $53.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Innoviz Technologies it is $0.0850 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.4081. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Innoviz Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, INVZ trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.4081, fair value $0.0850, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of INVZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4081); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0850). For Innoviz Technologies the two are $0.3231 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Innoviz Technologies worth?
The market values Innoviz Technologies at about $91.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.4081; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0850 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about INVZ?
Our models span a range for Innoviz Technologies: cautious scenario $0.0595, base $0.0850, optimistic $0.1020 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.4081). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Innoviz Technologies (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −114.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is INVZ from its 52-week high?
Innoviz Technologies trades at $0.4081, about 83% below its 52-week high of $2.38 and 35% above the low of $0.3033 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0850 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Innoviz Technologies?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Innoviz Technologies stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.4081, calculated fair value $0.0850 (−79%), Quality Score 37/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of INVZ calculated?
We run Innoviz Technologies through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0850, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Innoviz Technologies itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.4081. Our model-based fair value is $0.0850, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Innoviz Technologies right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1020). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Innoviz Technologies

How large is the market capitalisation of Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
The market capitalisation of Innoviz Technologies is $91.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Innoviz Technologies is 1.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
Earnings per share at Innoviz Technologies are $−0.3800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
The net margin of Innoviz Technologies is −123% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Innoviz Technologies is −115% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Innoviz Technologies is −57.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
The operating margin of Innoviz Technologies is −102% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Innoviz Technologies (INVZ)?
Revenue at Innoviz Technologies is growing +85.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +109%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Innoviz Technologies (INVZ) generate?
The free cash flow of Innoviz Technologies is −$52.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Innoviz Technologies (INVZ) carry?
The net debt of Innoviz Technologies is $55.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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