IPD Group (IPG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$510M
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from A$6.04 to A$5.29 (−12.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.4% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from A$3.97 (bear) to A$6.61 (bull), base A$5.29. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range A$0.9180 – A$6.35 · fair‑value band A$3.97 – A$6.61 · the A$4.83 price screens below the A$5.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
IPD Group (IPG) currently trades at A$4.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$5.29, implying the stock looks roughly 9.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, IPD Group generated revenue of A$370M at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.3%. Net debt stands at A$10.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$3.97 (bear case) to A$6.61 (bull case); at A$4.83, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 10%, IPG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$9.25) versus Asset-Based (A$1.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
IPD Group Limited distributes electrical infrastructure in Australia. It operates through Products Division and Services Division segments.
Full company description
IPD Group Limited distributes electrical infrastructure in Australia. It operates through Products Division and Services Division segments. The company offers power distribution; industrial and motor control; automation and industrial communication; power monitoring; electrical cables; cable plugs; and hazardous area equipment under the third-party brands, such as ABB, Elsteel, and Emerson & Red Lion. It also offers installation and commissioning; calibration and testing; maintenance and repairs; electric vehicle solutions; and refurbishment and other services. In addition, the company offers value-added services, including custom assembly, sourcing, engineering design, technical compliance, procurement, transport, storage, regulatory management, technical support, packaging, labelling, inventory management, and delivery. It serves switchboard manufacturers, electrical wholesalers, electrical contractors, power utilities, OEMs, and system integrators. The company was formerly known as Alstom Industrial Products Limited and changed its name to IPD Group Limited in July 2006. IPD Group Limited was founded in 1889 and is based in Wetherill Park, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
IPD Group reported revenue of A$355M in FY2025 versus A$118M in FY2021, a compound +31.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$26.2M in FY2025, compounding +41.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
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| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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