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Industrias Peñoles, S.A. (IPOAF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $19.9B

IP Industrias Peñoles, S.A. logo Industrias Peñoles, S.A. IPOAF · US
Price$52.00
Fair Value$62.53
Upside+20.3%
Quality83/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.76% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 89/100
Evidence: Medium Range $46.90 – $78.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +16.9% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $46.90 (bear) to $78.16 (bull), base $62.53. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 83/100 (high quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$69.07 $5.09 Fair Value $62.53 Nov 2018 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.09 – $69.07 · fair‑value band $46.90 – $78.16 · the $52.00 price screens below the $62.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Industrias Peñoles, S.A. (IPOAF) currently trades at $52.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $62.53, implying the stock looks roughly 20.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Industrias Peñoles, S.A. generated revenue of $10.3B at a net margin of 18.0%. Revenue grew 91.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 36.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $342M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $46.90 (bear case) to $78.16 (bull case); at $52.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 20%, IPOAF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $62.86 $94.33 $140.36 80
Residual Income $24.43 $33.15 $187.89 76
Rev-Margin DCF $38.18 $55.38 $75.92 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $62.13 $98.35 $155.19 38
Owner Earnings $50.39 $79.47 $125.12 31
5Y Revenue Exit $38.18 $54.81 $75.53 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $60.93 $98.27 $142.28 41
5Y P/E Exit $50.53 $78.41 $107.91 38
10Y Revenue Exit $45.42 $62.92 $85.84 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $60.80 $93.44 $137.79 37
10Y P/E Exit $54.12 $79.49 $111.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $25.01 $85.81 $115.18 54
Lynch FV $19.77 $28.25 $36.72 50
PEG = 1.0 $19.77 $28.25 $36.72 46
EPV $53.45 $61.95 $69.39 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $46.90 $62.53 $78.16 63
P/S Multiple $25.94 $34.58 $43.23 58
P/B Multiple $31.96 $42.61 $53.26 55
EV/EBIT $72.92 $96.41 $119.90 53
EV/EBITDA $66.99 $88.50 $110.02 54
EV/Revenue $26.66 $37.04 $47.41 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.10 $9.52 $14.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $62.86 $94.33 $140.36 80
Rev-Margin DCF $38.18 $55.38 $75.92 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $24.43 $33.15 $187.89 76
ROIC Compounder $56.49 $69.19 $82.91 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $41.28 $58.97 $76.66 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($79.47) versus Asset-Based ($9.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $10.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +91.6%
Net margin 18.0%
Return on equity 36.2%
Free cash flow $2.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 10.7
More key figures
Operating margin 43.1%
EPS (TTM) $4.65
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +257%
Net cash $342M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 83/100

Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 96
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Industrias Peñoles, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, extraction, and sale of mineral concentrates and minerals in Mexico, Europe, Canada, Asia, the United States, South America, and internationally. It operates through Mines of Precious Metal, Base Metals Mines, Metallurgical, and Other segments.

Full company description

Industrias Peñoles, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, extraction, and sale of mineral concentrates and minerals in Mexico, Europe, Canada, Asia, the United States, South America, and internationally. It operates through Mines of Precious Metal, Base Metals Mines, Metallurgical, and Other segments. The company primarily explores for zinc, lead, copper, gold, silver, cadmium, and magnesium deposits. It is also involved in the smelting and refining of non-ferrous metals. In addition, the company produces and sells chemical products, such as sodium sulfate, magnesium oxide, magnesium hydroxide, and magnesium sulfate, as well as copper sulfate, zinc sulfate, ammonium sulphate and bisulfite, deprezinc, sodium chloride, sulfuric acid, and antimony trioxide; production of inorganic chemical products. The company was founded in 1887 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Industrias Peñoles, S.A. reported revenue of $9.2B in FY2025 versus $6.0B in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.5B in FY2025, compounding +39.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.2B
Latest YoY
+37.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+18.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+8.9%
Revenue +11.3%/yr
FY21 $6.0B
FY22 $5.5B
FY23 $5.9B
FY24 $6.7B
FY25 $9.2B
Net income +39.0%/yr
FY21 $391M
FY22 $183M
FY23 $147M
FY24 $73.3M
FY25 $1.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Industrias Peñoles, S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IPOAF

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 83 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +20% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Return on assets 18% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 43% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 92% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.44× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.52× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.93× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 9.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 60 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 78 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Industrias Peñoles, S.A. (IPOAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $62.53 versus a price of $52.00, about +20% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IPOAF?
Our model-based fair value for Industrias Peñoles, S.A. is $62.53 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $52.00.
What is the quality score of IPOAF?
Industrias Peñoles, S.A. has a Quality Score of 83/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Industrias Peñoles, S.A. (IPOAF)?
Industrias Peñoles, S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IPOAF?
The net profit margin of Industrias Peñoles, S.A. is about 18.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Industrias Peñoles, S.A. pay a dividend?
Industrias Peñoles, S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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