IRPC Public Company (IRPSY) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $1.3B
IRPC Public Company
IRPSY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
A solid business, but screening 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.6600 to $1.91). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.48 – $11.60 · fair‑value band $0.6600 – $1.91 · the $6.21 price screens above the $0.6600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
IRPC Public Company (IRPSY) currently trades at $6.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6600, implying the stock looks roughly 89.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, IRPC Public Company generated revenue of $284B at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at $41.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.6600 (bear case) to $1.91 (bull case); at $6.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 151% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -89%, IRPSY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($894.56) versus Dividend Discount ($8.38). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
IRPC Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in petroleum and petrochemical business in Thailand, Singapore, and internationally.
Full company description
IRPC Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in petroleum and petrochemical business in Thailand, Singapore, and internationally. It offers refinery, lubricant, asphalt, olefins, aromatics, and other petrochemical products; liquefied petroleum gas, naphtha, gasoline, diesel, and Jet A-1 commercial aviation fuel; and high density polyethylene, polypropylene, acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene, acrylonitrile styrene, polystyrene, and expandable polystyrene. The company also offers port services and storage tank services; water based products; ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene; acetylene black; and power and public utilities services. In addition, it is involved in the provision of asset management activities; operation of vocational schools; sale of oil products and gas; manufacture and sale of non-woven fabric products and medical consumables; production and distribution of fertilizer products; operates water filtration plants; industrial pneumatic system; and power plant and other utilities businesses. The company was formerly known as Thai Petrochemical Industry Public Company Limited and changed its name to IRPC Public Company Limited in October 2006. IRPC Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Rayong, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
IRPC Public Company reported revenue of $268B in FY2025 versus $255B in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.4B in FY2025.
IRPSY screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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