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PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, (IRSX) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · ID · Market cap 2.5T IDR

PF PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, IRSX · JK
Price362.00 IDR
Fair Value81.69 IDR
Upside-77.4%
Quality40/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 5.5% net margin
negative free cash flow
0.06% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/12)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: Medium Range 55.85 IDR – 107.91 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +38.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (107.91 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (55.85 IDR to 107.91 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

784.61 IDR 9.00 IDR Fair Value 81.69 IDR Feb 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

42‑month range 9.00 IDR – 784.61 IDR · fair‑value band 55.85 IDR – 107.91 IDR · the 362.00 IDR price screens above the 81.69 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, (IRSX) currently trades at 362.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 81.69 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 77.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, generated revenue of 530B IDR at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue grew 233.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 53.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 55.85 IDR (bear case) to 107.91 IDR (bull case); at 362.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -77%, IRSX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E 106.41 IDR 152.01 IDR 197.61 IDR 68
ROIC Compounder 56.60 IDR 77.40 IDR 95.78 IDR 67
P/E Multiple 50.56 IDR 67.41 IDR 84.26 IDR 63
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 22.92 IDR 159.84 IDR 224.31 IDR 54
Lynch FV 82.58 IDR 117.97 IDR 153.36 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 82.58 IDR 117.97 IDR 153.36 IDR 46
EPV 45.15 IDR 50.84 IDR 55.90 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 50.56 IDR 67.41 IDR 84.26 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 42.97 IDR 57.30 IDR 71.62 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 42.97 IDR 57.30 IDR 71.62 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 68.01 IDR 86.38 IDR 104.76 IDR 53
EV/Revenue 50.05 IDR 65.97 IDR 81.89 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 17.61 IDR 23.60 IDR 35.22 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 31.09 IDR 34.55 IDR 58.94 IDR 61
ROIC Compounder 56.60 IDR 77.40 IDR 95.78 IDR 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 106.41 IDR 152.01 IDR 197.61 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (152.01 IDR) versus Asset-Based (23.60 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 530B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +233%
Net margin 5.5%
Return on equity 15.5%
Free cash flow −6.7B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 63.4
More key figures
Operating margin 3.9%
EPS (TTM) 4.54 IDR
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +5,318%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 2
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in software publishing and digital product sales businesses in Indonesia. It operates through five segments: Digital Products, IRS Software, Advertisement, Commission, and Digital Marketing Services.

Full company description

PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in software publishing and digital product sales businesses in Indonesia. It operates through five segments: Digital Products, IRS Software, Advertisement, Commission, and Digital Marketing Services. The Digital Products segment provides information technology solutions to support customers' digitalization needs. Its IRS Software segment develops revenue management systems to improve operational efficiency and support financial reporting requirements. The Advertising segment offers digital marketing services through various media channels. The Commission segment includes intermediary activities and commission-based cooperation within the digital ecosystem. The Digital Marketing segment provides integrated digital marketing solutions, including campaign planning, content management, and optimization of digital marketing distribution. It serves digital product distributors, e-commerce players, corporate clients, gaming aggregators, and other digital service providers. In addition, the company provides information and communication services. The company was formerly known as PT Aviana Sinar Abadi Tbk and changed its name to PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk in September 2025. PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Tangerang Selatan, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, reported revenue of 410B IDR in FY2025 versus 7.6B IDR in FY2021, a compound +171.0%/yr. Reported net income was 28.8B IDR in FY2025, compounding +170.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
410B IDR
Latest YoY
−51.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+36.3%
Revenue +171.0%/yr
FY21 7.6B IDR
FY22 162B IDR
FY23 249B IDR
FY24 842B IDR
FY25 410B IDR
Net income +170.3%/yr
FY21 539M IDR
FY22 4.1B IDR
FY23 −2.3B IDR
FY24 −541M IDR
FY25 28.8B IDR

IRSX screens 77% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IRSX

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 233% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 63.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 8.18× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 55.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 38
PAST 62 · sector 13
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAPS C$12.69 C$16.26 +28%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$173.23 C$20.54 -88%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, (IRSX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 81.69 IDR versus a price of 362.00 IDR, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IRSX?
Our model-based fair value for PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, is 81.69 IDR (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 362.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of IRSX?
PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, (IRSX)?
PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 530B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IRSX?
The net profit margin of PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, is about 5.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, pay a dividend?
PT Folago Global Nusantara Tbk, currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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