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JAKKS Pacific, Inc (JAKK) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $253M

Price$22.23
Fair Value$13.05
Upside-41.3%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range $13.05 – $13.05

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

JAKKS Pacific, Inc (JAKK) currently trades at $22.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.05 — implying the stock looks roughly 41.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

JAKKS Pacific, Inc. designs, produces, markets, sells, and distributes toys and related products, consumer and electronic products, kids indoor and outdoor furniture, costumes, and sporting goods and home furnishings space products worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Toys/Consumer Products and Costumes. The company offers action figures and accessories, such as licensed characters; toy vehicles; dolls and accessories, including small, large, fashion, and baby dolls based on licenses, as well as infant and pre-school products; private label products; and foot-to-floor ride-on products. The company also provides role play, dress-up, pretend play, and novelty products for boys and girls based on brands and entertainment properties, as well as on its own proprietary brands; and indoor and outdoor kids' furniture, activity trays and tables, room décor, and seasonal and outdoor products. In addition, it offers Halloween and everyday costumes for various ages based on lic…

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Frequently asked questions

Is JAKKS Pacific, Inc (JAKK) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.05 versus a price of $22.23 — about −41% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of JAKK?
Our 21-model fair value for JAKKS Pacific, Inc is $13.05 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $22.23.
What is the quality score of JAKK?
JAKKS Pacific, Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.